Monthly Day Long Strategy with VIX and Risk ManagementThis trading strategy is designed to open long positions on a specific day of the month, with the conditions for entry and exit based on the VIX index and additional risk management techniques. The strategy includes stop-loss and take-profit features to manage risk and lock in profits.
Inputs:
Entry Day of the Month (entry_day): Specifies which day of the month to consider for initiating a trade. The default value is the 27th.
Hold Duration (Days) (hold_duration_days): Defines how many days to hold the position after opening. The default value is 4 days.
VIX Threshold (vix_threshold): Sets the maximum acceptable value for the VIX index to consider an entry. If the VIX is below this threshold, it signals a potential trade. The default value is 20.0.
Stop Loss (%) (stop_loss_percentage): Determines the percentage below the entry price where the stop-loss will be triggered. The default value is 2.0%.
Take Profit (%) (take_profit_percentage): Sets the percentage above the entry price where the take-profit will be triggered. The default value is 5.0%.
Functions:
next_weekday(date): Adjusts the entry date to the next Monday if it falls on a weekend (Saturday or Sunday). This ensures trades do not occur on non-trading days.
Logic:
Entry Conditions:
Date Check: Opens a long position if the current date matches the adjusted entry date (the 27th or the next Monday if the 27th falls on a weekend).
VIX Filter: The VIX index value must be below the specified threshold (e.g., 20.0) to consider an entry.
Exit Conditions:
Time-Based Exit: Closes the position after the hold duration of 4 days.
Stop-Loss: Automatically closes the position if the price drops to a level that is a specified percentage below the entry price (e.g., 2.0%).
Take-Profit: Closes the position if the price rises to a level that is a specified percentage above the entry price (e.g., 5.0%).
Plots:
VIX Plot: Displays the VIX index on the chart for visual reference.
VIX Threshold Line: A horizontal line representing the VIX threshold value.
Summary:
The strategy aims to take advantage of specific entry days while filtering trades based on VIX levels to ensure market conditions are favorable. Risk management is enhanced through stop-loss and take-profit settings, which help in controlling potential losses and securing profits. The strategy ensures trades are only made on trading days and not on weekends, adjusting automatically to the next Monday if needed.
ChatGPT kann Fehler machen. Überprüfe wichtige Informationen.
Tìm kiếm tập lệnh với "stop loss"
Supertrend (Buy/Sell) With TP & SLSupertrend (Buy/Sell) with TP & SL: An Enhanced Trading Tool
This Pine Script indicator combines the popular Supertrend indicator with multiple take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels, providing traders with a comprehensive visual aid for potential entries, exits, and risk management.
Originality
Buffer Zones for Precision: Instead of relying solely on the Supertrend line, this script incorporates buffer zones around it. This helps filter out false signals, especially in volatile markets, leading to more accurate buy/sell signals.
Flexible Stop-Loss: Offers the choice between a fixed or trailing stop-loss, allowing traders to tailor their risk management approach based on their preferences and market conditions.
Multiple Take-Profit Levels: Provides three potential take-profit levels, giving traders the flexibility to secure profits at different stages of a trend.
Heikin Ashi Candles & VWAP: Incorporates Heikin Ashi candles for smoother trend visualization and adds a VWAP line for potential support/resistance levels.
Clear Table Display: Presents key information like Stop Loss and Take Profit levels in a user-friendly table, making it easier to track trade targets.
How It Works
Supertrend Calculation: The Supertrend is calculated using ATR (Average True Range) to gauge market volatility. The script then creates buffer zones around the Supertrend line for refined signal generation.
Buy/Sell Signals:
Buy: When the close price crosses above the upper buffer zone, indicating a potential uptrend.
Sell: When the close price crosses below the lower buffer zone, suggesting a potential downtrend.
Take Profit & Stop Loss:
Take Profits: Three TP levels are calculated based on ATR and a customizable profit factor.
Stop Loss: The stop-loss can be set as either a fixed value based on ATR or as a trailing stop-loss that dynamically adjusts to lock in profits.
How To Use
Add the Indicator: Search for "Supertrend (Buy/Sell) With TP & SL" in the TradingView indicators list and add it to your chart.
Customize Inputs: Adjust parameters like ATR Period, Factor, Take Profit Factor, Stop Loss Factor, Stop Loss Type, etc., based on your trading style and preferences.
Interpret Signals: Look for buy signals when the price crosses above the upper buffer and sell signals when it crosses below the lower buffer.
Manage Risk: Use the plotted Take Profit and Stop Loss levels to manage your risk and potential rewards.
Concepts
Supertrend: A trend-following indicator that helps identify the direction of the prevailing trend.
ATR (Average True Range): A measure of market volatility.
Buffer Zones: Used to filter out false signals by creating a zone around the Supertrend line.
Trailing Stop Loss: A dynamic stop-loss that moves with the price to protect profits.
Heikin Ashi: A type of candlestick chart designed to filter out market noise and make trends easier to identify.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): An indicator that shows the average price at which a security has traded throughout the day, based on both volume and price.
Important Note: This script is for educational and informational purposes only. Backtest thoroughly and use with caution in live trading. Always manage your risk appropriately.
Sniper Entry using RSI confirmationThis is a sniper entry indicator that provides Buy and Sell signals using other Indicators to give the best possible Entries (note: Entries will not be 100 percent accurate and analysis should be done to support an entry)
Moving Average Crossovers:
The indicator uses two moving averages: a short-term SMA (Simple Moving Average) and a long-term SMA.
When the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it generates a buy signal (indicating potential upward momentum).
When the short-term SMA crosses below the long-term SMA, it generates a sell signal (indicating potential downward momentum).
RSI Confirmation:
The indicator incorporates RSI (Relative Strength Index) to confirm the buy and sell signals generated by the moving average crossovers.
RSI is used to gauge the overbought and oversold conditions of the market.
A buy signal is confirmed if RSI is below a specified overbought level, indicating potential buying opportunity.
A sell signal is confirmed if RSI is above a specified oversold level, indicating potential selling opportunity.
Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss:
The indicator calculates dynamic take profit and stop loss levels based on the Average True Range (ATR).
ATR is used to gauge market volatility, and the take profit and stop loss levels are adjusted accordingly.
This feature helps traders to manage their risk effectively by setting appropriate profit targets and stop loss levels.
Combining the information provided by these, the indicator will provide an entry point with a provided take profit and stop loss. The indicator can be applied to different asset classes. Risk management must be applied when using this indicator as it is not 100% guaranteed to be profitable.
Goodluck!
Smart Money Concept [TradingFinder] Major OB + FVG + Liquidity🔵 Introduction
"Smart Money" refers to funds under the control of institutional investors, central banks, funds, market makers, and other financial entities. Ordinary people recognize investments made by those who have a deep understanding of market performance and possess information typically inaccessible to regular investors as "Smart Money".
Consequently, when market movements often diverge from expectations, traders identify the footprints of smart money. For example, when a classic pattern forms in the market, traders take short positions. However, the market might move upward instead. They attribute this contradiction to smart money and seek to capitalize on such inconsistencies in their trades.
The "Smart Money Concept" (SMC) is one of the primary styles of technical analysis that falls under the subset of "Price Action". Price action encompasses various subcategories, with one of the most significant being "Supply and Demand", in which SMC is categorized.
The SMC method aims to identify trading opportunities by emphasizing the impact of large traders (Smart Money) on the market, offering specific patterns, techniques, and trading strategies.
🟣 Key Terms of Smart Money Concept (SMC)
• Market Structure (Trend)
• Change of Character (ChoCh)
• Break of Structure (BoS)
• Order Blocks (Supply and Demand)
• Imbalance (IMB)
• Inefficiency (IFC)
• Fair Value Gap (FVG)
• Liquidity
• Premium and Discount
🔵 How Does the "Smart Money Concept Indicator" Work?
🟣 Market Structure
a. Accumulation
b. Market-Up
c. Distribution
d. Market-Down
a) Accumulation Phase : During the accumulation period, typically following a downtrend, smart money enters the market without significantly affecting the pricing trend.
b) Market-Up Phase : In this phase, the price of an asset moves upward from the accumulation range and begins to rise. Usually, the buying by retail investors is the main driver of this trend, and due to positive market sentiment, it continues.
c) Distribution Phase : The distribution phase, unlike the accumulation stage, occurs after an uptrend. In this phase, smart money attempts to exit the market without causing significant price fluctuations.
d) Market-Down Phase : In this stage, the price of an asset moves downward from the distribution phase, initiating a prolonged downtrend. Smart money liquidates all its positions by creating selling pressure, trapping latecomer investors.
The result of these four phases in the market becomes the market trend.
Types of Trends in Financial Markets :
a. Up-Trend
b. Down Trend
c. Range (No Trend)
a) Up-Trend : The market breaks consecutive highs.
b) Down Trend : The market breaks consecutive lows.
c) No Trend or Range : The market oscillates within a range without breaking either highs or lows.
🟣 Change of Character (ChoCh)
The "ChoCh" or "Change of Character" pattern indicates an initial change in order flow in financial markets. This structural change occurs when a major pivot in the opposite direction of the market trend fails. It signals a potential change in the market trend and can serve as a signal for short-term or long-term trend changes in a trading symbol.
🟣 Break of Structure (BoS)
The "BoS" or "Break of Structure" pattern indicates the continuation of the trend in financial markets. This structure forms when, in an uptrend, the price breaks its ceiling or, in a downtrend, the price breaks its floor.
🟣 Order Blocks (Supply and Demand)
Order blocks consist of supply and demand areas where the likelihood of price reversal is higher. There are six order blocks in this indicator, categorized based on their origin and formation reasons.
a. Demand Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
b. Demand Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
c. Demand All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
d. Supply Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
e. Supply Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
f. Supply All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
🟣 FVG | Inefficiency | Imbalance
These three terms are almost synonymous. They describe the presence of gaps between consecutive candle shadows. This inefficiency occurs when the market moves rapidly. Primarily, imbalances and these rapid movements stem from the entry of smart money and the imbalance between buyer and seller power. Therefore, identifying these movements is crucial for traders.
These areas are significant because prices often return to fill these gaps or even before they occur to fill price gaps.
🟣 Liquidity
Liquidity zones are areas where there is a likelihood of congestion of stop-loss orders. Liquidity is considered the driving force of the entire market, and market makers may manipulate the market using these zones. However, in many cases, this does not happen because there is insufficient liquidity in some areas.
Types of Liquidity in Financial Markets :
a. Trend Lines
b. Double Tops | Double Bottoms
c. Triple Tops | Triple Bottoms
d. Support Lines | Resistance Lines
All four types of liquidity in this indicator are automatically identified.
🟣 Premium and Discount
Premium and discount zones can assist traders in making better decisions. For instance, they may sell positions in expensive ranges and buy in cheaper ranges. The closer the price is to the major resistance, the more expensive it is, and the closer it is to the major support, the cheaper it is.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Change of Character (ChoCh) and Break of Structure (BoS)
This indicator detects "ChoCh" and "BoS" in both Minor and Major states. You can turn on the display of these lines by referring to the last part of the settings.
🟣 Order Blocks (Supply and Demand)
Order blocks are Zones where the probability of price reversal is higher. In demand Zones you can buy opportunities and in supply Zones you can check sell opportunities.
The "Refinement" feature allows you to adjust the width of the order block according to your strategy. There are two modes, "Aggressive" and "Defensive," in the "Order Block Refine". The difference between "Aggressive" and "Defensive" lies in the width of the order block.
For risk-averse traders, the "Defensive" mode is suitable as it provides a lower loss limit and a greater reward-to-risk ratio. For risk-taking traders, the "Aggressive" mode is more appropriate. These traders prefer to enter trades at higher prices, and this mode, which has a wider order block width, is more suitable for this group of individuals.
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG) | Imbalance (IMB) | Inefficiency (IFC)
In order to identify the "fair value gap" on the chart, it must be analyzed candle by candle. In this process, it is important to pay attention to candles with a large size, and a candle and a candle should be examined before that.
Candles before and after this central candle should have long shadows and their bodies should not overlap with the central candle body. The distance between the shadows of the first and third candles is known as the FVG range.
These areas work in two ways :
• Supply and demand area : In this case, the price reacts to these areas and the trend is reversed.
• Liquidity zone : In this scenario, the price "fills" the zone and then reaches the order block.
Important note : In most cases, the FVG zone of very small width acts as a supply and demand zone, while the zone of significant width acts as a liquidity zone and absorbs price.
When the FVG filter is activated, the FVG regions are filtered based on the specified algorithm.
FVG filter types include the following :
1. Very Aggressive Mode : In addition to the initial condition, an additional condition is considered. For bullish FVG, the maximum price of the last candle must be greater than the maximum price of the middle candle.
Similarly, for a bearish FVG, the minimum price of the last candle must be lower than the minimum price of the middle candle. This mode removes the minimum number of FVGs.
2. Aggressive : In addition to the very aggressive condition, the size of the middle candle is also considered. The size of the center candle should not be small and therefore more FVGs are removed in this case.
3. Defensive : In addition to the conditions of the very aggressive mode, this mode also considers the size of the middle pile, which should be relatively large and make up the majority of the body.
Also, to identify bullish FVGs, the second and third candles must be positive, while for bearish FVGs, the second and third candles must be negative. This mode filters out a significant number of FVGs and keeps only those of good quality.
4. Very Defensive : In addition to the conditions of the defensive mode, in this mode the first and third candles should not be very small-bodied doji candles. This mode filters out most FVGs and only the best quality ones remain.
🟣 Liquidity
These levels are where traders intend to exit their trades. "Market makers" or smart money usually accumulate or distribute their trading positions near these levels, where many retail traders have placed their "stop loss" orders. When liquidity is collected from these losses, the price often reverses.
A "Stop hunt" is a move designed to offset liquidity generated by established stop losses. Banks often use major news events to trigger stop hunts and capture liquidity released into the market. For example, if they intend to execute heavy buy orders, they encourage others to sell through stop-hots.
Consequently, if there is liquidity in the market before reaching the order block area, the validity of that order block is higher. Conversely, if the liquidity is close to the order block, that is, the price reaches the order block before reaching the liquidity limit, the validity of that order block is lower.
🟣 Alert
With the new alert functionality in this indicator, you won't miss any important trading signals. Alerts are activated when the price hits the last order block.
1. It is possible to set alerts for each "symbol" and "time frame". The system will automatically detect both and include them in the warning message.
2. Each alert provides the exact date and time it was triggered. This helps you measure the timeliness of the signal and evaluate its relevance.
3. Alerts include target order block price ranges. The "Proximal" level represents the initial price level strike, while the "Distal" level represents the maximum price gap in the block. These details are included in the warning message.
4. You can customize the alert name through the "Alert Name" entry.
5. Create custom messages for "long" and "short" alerts to be sent with notifications.
🔵 Setting
a. Pivot Period of Order Blocks Detector :
Using this parameter, you can set the zigzag period that is formed based on the pivots.
b. Order Blocks Validity Period (Bar) :
You can set the validity period of each Order Block based on the number of candles that have passed since the origin of the Order Block.
c. Demand Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Demand Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
d. Demand Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Demand Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
e. Demand All Zone, "BoS" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Demand All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
f. Supply Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Supply Main Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
g. Supply Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Supply Sub Zone, "ChoCh" Origin.
h. Supply All Zone, "BoS" Origin :
You can control the display or not display as well as the color of Supply All Zone, "BoS" Origin.
i. Refine Demand Main : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
j. Refine Demand Sub : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
k. Refine Demand BoS : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
l. Refine Supply Main : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
m. Refine Supply Sub : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
n. Refine Supply BoS : You can choose to be refined or not and also the type of refining.
o. Show Demand FVG : You can choose to show or not show Demand FVG.
p. Show Supply FVG : You can choose to show or not show Supply FVG
q. FVG Filter : You can choose whether FVG is filtered or not. Also specify the type of filter you want to use.
r. Show Statics High Liquidity Line : Show or not show Statics High Liquidity Line.
s. Show Statics Low Liquidity Line : Show or not show Statics Low Liquidity Line.
t. Show Dynamics High Liquidity Line : Show or not show Dynamics High Liquidity Line.
u. Show Dynamics Low Liquidity Line : Show or not show Dynamics Low Liquidity Line.
v. Statics Period Pivot :
Using this parameter, you can set the Swing period that is formed based on Static Liquidity Lines.
w. Dynamics Period Pivot :
Using this parameter, you can set the Swing period that is formed based Dynamics Liquidity Lines.
x. Statics Liquidity Line Sensitivity :
is a number between 0 and 0.4. Increasing this number decreases the sensitivity of the "Statics Liquidity Line Detection" function and increases the number of lines identified. The default value is 0.3.
y. Dynamics Liquidity Line Sensitivity :
is a number between 0.4 and 1.95. Increasing this number increases the sensitivity of the "Dynamics Liquidity Line Detection" function and decreases the number of lines identified. The default value is 1.
z. Alerts Name : You can customize the alert name using this input and set it to your desired name.
aa. Alert Demand Main Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Demand Main 's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
bb. Alert Demand Sub Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Demand Sub's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
cc. Alert Demand BoS Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Demand BoS's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
dd. Alert Supply Main Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Supply Main's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
ee. Alert Supply Sub Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Supply Sub's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
ff. Alert Supply BoS Mitigation :
If you want to receive the alert about Supply BoS's mitigation after setting the alerts, leave this tick on. Otherwise, turn it off.
gg. Message Frequency :
This parameter, represented as a string, determines the frequency of announcements. Options include: 'All' (triggers the alert every time the function is called), 'Once Per Bar' (triggers the alert only on the first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (activates the alert only during the final script execution of the real-time bar upon closure). The default setting is 'Once per Bar'.
hh. Show Alert time by Time Zone :
The date, hour, and minute displayed in alert messages can be configured to reflect any chosen time zone. For instance, if you prefer London time, you should input 'UTC+1'. By default, this input is configured to the 'UTC' time zone.
ii. Display More Info : The 'Display More Info' option provides details regarding the price range of the order blocks (Zone Price), along with the date, hour, and minute. If you prefer not to include this information in the alert message, you should set it to 'Off'.
You also have access to display or not to display, choose the Style and Color of all the lines below :
a. Major Bullish "BoS" Lines
b. Major Bearish "BoS" Lines
c. Minor Bullish "BoS" Lines
d. Minor Bearish "BoS" Lines
e. Major Bullish "ChoCh" Lines
f. Major Bearish "ChoCh" Lines
g. Minor Bullish "ChoCh" Lines
h. Minor Bearish "ChoCh" Lines
i. Last Major Support Line
j. Last Major Resistance Line
k. Last Minor Support Line
l. Last Minor Resistance Line
BBSR Extreme Strategy [nachodog]The Bollinger Bands Stochastic RSI Extreme Strategy is a comprehensive trading approach designed for use on the TradingView platform, employing a combination of Bollinger Bands and the Stochastic RSI to identify potential entry and exit points in the market. This strategy is converted into Pine Script version 5 and is specifically tailored as a strategy rather than a mere study, allowing traders to simulate and backtest their trades within the TradingView environment.
Strategy Overview:
Bollinger Bands serve as the primary tool for volatility and price level analysis. By calculating the standard deviation of price movements around a simple moving average (SMA), this strategy identifies the upper and lower bounds of price fluctuations, helping traders spot potential reversal points.
Stochastic RSI is used to gauge the momentum by comparing the closing price's position relative to its price range over a certain period. This indicator helps in determining overbought or oversold conditions, providing insights into potential bullish or bearish momentum.
Entry Signals:
Bullish Entry: The strategy signals a long entry when the price moves from below to above the lower Bollinger Band, coupled with a Stochastic RSI indicating an exit from oversold conditions. This suggests an uptrend initiation, prompting a buy order.
Bearish Entry: Conversely, a short entry is signaled when the price drops from above to below the upper Bollinger Band while the Stochastic RSI moves from overbought territory. This condition indicates a potential downtrend, triggering a sell order.
Exit Criteria:
Stop Loss: A key feature of this strategy is the inclusion of a user-defined stop loss percentage, which helps manage risk by specifying the maximum allowable loss per trade.
Bearish Exit for Long Positions: Long positions are exited either when a bearish signal is detected or when the price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a reversal or weakening of the bullish trend.
Bullish Exit for Short Positions: Short positions are closed upon a bullish signal or when the price crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a potential reversal or diminishing bearish momentum.
Strategy Benefits:
The strategy provides a structured framework for entering and exiting trades, leveraging the strengths of both Bollinger Bands and Stochastic RSI.
It includes parameters for customization, such as the stop loss percentage, allowing traders to align the strategy with their risk tolerance and trading objectives.
The ability to backtest and simulate trades on TradingView enhances its utility, offering insights into the strategy's performance under historical market conditions.
Overall, the Bollinger Bands Stochastic RSI Extreme Strategy is designed for traders who seek to capitalize on trend reversals and momentum shifts, with built-in risk management features to safeguard against significant losses.
Strategy / Connectable [Azullian]The connectable strategy serves as a foundational component in our indicator system on TradingView, designed for intuitive testing, visualization, and construction of trading strategies. In concert with the connectable signal filter , it forms a cohesive unit that allows for efficient signal processing and strategy implementation. This integration enables the strategy to receive and act on weighted signals from various connectable indicators, making it a versatile tool for both novice and experienced traders.
Let's review the separate parts of this indicator.
█ STRATEGY INPUTS
We've provided an input to connect a signal filter or indicators or chains (→) which is set to 'Close' by default.
An input has several controls:
• Input: Connect indicators or signal filter here, choose indicators with a compatible : Signal connector.
• SM - Signal Mode: Choose a trading direction compatible with the settings in your signal filter
█ POSITION INVESTMENT
Determine the percentage of your trading budget you would like to use in each position based on the strategy's profit or loss.
• LINVB - Loss Investment Base: Choose which base to use to determine the investment percentage when the strategy is in a loss.
○ Equity: Use the equity as the base for percentage calculation.
○ Initial capital: Use the initial capital as the base for percentage calculation.
• LINV% - Loss Investment Percentage: Set a percentage of the chosen investment base as the investment for a new position.
○ For example, when 10% in loss, and a initial capital of $100, and the investment base is set to equity with a percentage of 50%, your investment will be 50% of $90, $45.
• PINVB - Profit Investment Base: Choose which base to use to determine the investment percentage when the strategy is in profit.
○ Equity: Use the equity as the base for percentage calculation.
○ Initial capital: Use the initial capital as the base for percentage calculation.
• PINV% - Profit Investment Percentage: Set a percentage of the chosen investment base as the investment for a new position.
○ For example, when 10% in profit, and an initial capital of $100, and the investment base is set to equity with a percentage of 100%, your investment will be 100% of $110, $110.
• RISK% - Risk Percentage:
○ Determine how much of the calculated position investment is at risk when the stop-loss is hit.
- For example, 1% of $45 represents a maximum loss of $0.45.
○ Risk percentage works together with the stop loss and the max leverage.
• MXLVG - Maximum Leverage:
○ Investigate the trading rules for your trading pair and use the maximum allowed amount of leverage.
○ To determine the number of contracts to be bought or sold, considering the stop loss and the specified risk percentage, the maximum leverage available will constrain the amount of leverage utilized to ensure that the maximum risk threshold is not exceeded. For instance, suppose the stop loss is set at 1%, and the risk percentage is defined as 10%. Initially, the calculated leverage to be used would be 10. However, if there is a maximum leverage cap set at 5, it would constrain the calculated leverage of 10 to adhere to the maximum limit of 5.
█ EXIT STOP LOSS
Determine the Stop Loss price based on your selected configuration.
As the stop loss is an integral part of the ordered contracts calculation used in conjunction with the Risk and Max leverage, you'll always need to provide a stop loss price.
• SLB - Stop Loss Base: Choose a stop loss mode for calculating stop loss prices.
○ Risk: Determines the price using the Risk parameter (RISK%) and maximum leverage (MXLVG). In this case, SLB% will not have any impact.
○ Price Entry + Offset: Calculates the stop loss price based on a offset percentage (SLB%) from the entry price of the position.
• SLB% - Stop Loss Base Percentage: Define an offset percentage that will be applied in the price entry + offset stop loss mode.
• SLT - Stop Loss Trailing:
○ Fixed: The initial stop loss will be kept and no trailing stop loss will be applied.
○ Trail Price: Computes the trailing stop loss price based on an offset percentage (SLT%) from the closing price of the current candle.
- If a better stop loss price is calculated, it will be set as the new stop loss price.
○ Trail Incr: Adapts the trailing stop loss price based on the offset percentage (SLT%).
- Each price change in favor of your position will incrementally adapt the trailing stop loss with SLT%.
• SLT% - Stop Loss Trailing Percentage: This percentage serves as an offset or increment depending on your chosen trailing mode.
█ EXIT TAKE PROFIT
Determine the Take Profit price based on your selected configuration.
• TPB - Take Profit Base: Choose a take profit mode for calculating take profit prices.
○ Reward: Determines the take profit price using the Risk parameter (RISK%) and the calculated Stop Loss price and the set reward percentage (TPB%).
- For example: Risk 1%, Calculated Stop loss price: $90, Entry price: $100, Reward (TPB%): 2%, will result in a take profit price on $120.
○ Price Entry + Offset: Calculates the take profit price based on a offset percentage (TPB%) from the entry price of the position.
- For example: Entry price: $100, Offset (TPB%): 2%, will result in a take profit price on $102.
• TPB% - Take Profit Base Percentage: Define an offset percentage that will be applied in the price entry + offset take profit mode.
• TPT - Take Profit Trailing:
○ Fixed: The initial take profit will be kept and no trailing take profit will be applied.
○ Trail Price: Computes the trailing take profit price based on an offset percentage (TPT%) from the closing price of the current candle.
- If an applicable take profit price is calculated, it will be set as the new take profit price.
○ Trail Incr: Adapts the trailing take profit price based on the offset percentage (TPT%). Each price change against your position will incrementally adapt the trailing take profit with TPT%.
• TPT% - Take Profit Trailing Percentage: This percentage serves as an offset or increment depending on your chosen trailing mode.
█ STRATEGY CONDITIONS
Specify when the strategy is permitted to execute trades.
• DATE: Enable the Date Range filter to restrict entries to a specific date range.
○ START: Set a start date and hour to commence trading.
○ END: Set an end date and hour to conclude trading within the defined range.
■ VISUALS
• LINE: Activate a colored dashed diagonal line to visually connect the entry and exit points of positions.
• SLTP: Enable visualization of stop loss, take profit, and break-even levels.
• PNL: Enable Break-Even and Close Lines along with a colored area in between to visualize profit and loss.
• ☼: Brightness % : Adjust the opacity of the plotted trading visuals.
• P - Profit Color : Choose the color for profit-related elements.
• L - Loss Color: Choose the color for loss-related elements.
• B - Breakeven Color : Select the color for break-even points.
• EL - Long Color: Specify the color for long positions.
• ES - Short Color: Specify the color for short positions.
• TRADE LABELING: For better analysis we've labeled all entries and exits conform with the type of order your strategy has executed, some examples:
○ XL-TP-150: Exit Long - Take Profit - Position 150
○ XS-TP-154: Exit Short - Take Profit - Position 154
○ XL-SL-160: Exit Long - Stop Loss - Position 160
○ XS-SL-164: Exit Short - Stop Loss - Position 164
█ USAGE OF CONNECTABLE INDICATORS
■ Connectable chaining mechanism
Connectable indicators can be connected directly to the signal monitor, signal filter or strategy , or they can be daisy chained to each other while the last indicator in the chain connects to the signal monitor, signal filter or strategy. When using a signal filter you can chain the filter to the strategy input to make your chain complete.
• Direct chaining: Connect an indicator directly to the signal monitor, signal filter or strategy through the provided inputs (→).
• Daisy chaining: Connect indicators using the indicator input (→). The first in a daisy chain should have a flow (⌥) set to 'Indicator only'. Subsequent indicators use 'Both' to pass the previous weight. The final indicator connects to the signal monitor, signal filter, or strategy.
■ Set up the strategy with a signal filter and an RSI indicator
Let's connect the Strategy to a connectable signal filter and a connectable RSI indicator :
1. Load all relevant indicators
• Load RSI / Connectable
• Load Signal filter / Connectable
• Load Strategy / Connectable
2. Signal Filter: Connect the RSI to the Signal Filter
• Open the signal filter settings
• Choose one of the three input dropdowns (1→, 2→, 3→) and choose : RSI / Connectable: Signal Connector
• Toggle the enable box before the connected input to enable the incoming signal
3. Signal Filter: Update the filter signals settings if needed
• The default settings of the filter enable EL (Enter Long), XL (Exit Long), ES (Enter Short) and XS (Exit Short).
4. Signal Filter: Update the weight threshold settings if needed
• All connectable indicators load by default with a score of 6 for each direction (EL, XL, ES, XS)
• By default, weight threshold (TH) is set at 5. This allows each occurrence to score, as the default score in each connectable indicator is 1 point above the threshold. Adjust to your liking.
5. Strategy: Connect the strategy to the signal filter in the strategy settings
• Select the strategy input → and select the Signal filter: Signal connector
6. Strategy: Enable filter compatible directions
• Set the signal mode of the strategy to a compatible direction with the signal filter.
Now that everything is connected, you'll notice green spikes in the signal filter representing long signals, and red spikes indicating short signals. Trades will also appear on the chart, complemented by a performance overview. Your journey is just beginning: delve into different scoring mechanisms, merge diverse connectable indicators, and craft unique chains. Instantly test your results and discover the potential of your configurations. Dive deep and enjoy the process!
█ BENEFITS
• Adaptable Modular Design: Arrange indicators in diverse structures via direct or daisy chaining, allowing tailored configurations to align with your analysis approach.
• Streamlined Backtesting: Simplify the iterative process of testing and adjusting combinations, facilitating a smoother exploration of potential setups.
• Intuitive Interface: Navigate TradingView with added ease. Integrate desired indicators, adjust settings, and establish alerts without delving into complex code.
• Signal Weight Precision: Leverage granular weight allocation among signals, offering a deeper layer of customization in strategy formulation.
• Advanced Signal Filtering: Define entry and exit conditions with more clarity, granting an added layer of strategy precision.
• Clear Visual Feedback: Distinct visual signals and cues enhance the readability of charts, promoting informed decision-making.
• Standardized Defaults: Indicators are equipped with universally recognized preset settings, ensuring consistency in initial setups across different types like momentum or volatility.
• Reliability: Our indicators are meticulously developed to prevent repainting. We strictly adhere to TradingView's coding conventions, ensuring our code is both performant and clean.
█ COMPATIBLE INDICATORS
Each indicator that incorporates our open-source 'azLibConnector' library and adheres to our conventions can be effortlessly integrated and used as detailed above.
For clarity and recognition within the TradingView platform, we append the suffix ' / Connectable' to every compatible indicator.
█ COMMON MISTAKES AND CLARIFICATIONS
• Removing an indicator from a chain: Deleting a linked indicator and confirming the "remove study tree" alert will also remove all underlying indicators in the object tree. Before removing one, disconnect the adjacent indicators and move it to the object stack's bottom.
• Point systems: The azLibConnector provides 500 points for each direction (EL: Enter long, XL: Exit long, ES: Enter short, XS: Exit short) Remember this cap when devising a point structure.
• Flow misconfiguration: In daisy chains the first indicator should always have a flow (⌥) setting of 'indicator only' while other indicator should have a flow (⌥) setting of 'both'.
• Recalculate: While this strategy has undergone extensive testing, enabling recalculation options like 'After order is filled' or 'On every tick' may lead to unexpected behavior.
• Fill orders: The strategy is thoroughly tested, yet enabling fill order options such as 'Using bar magnifier', 'On bar close', or 'Using standard OHLC' might result in unexpected outcomes.
• Layout and abbreviations: To maintain a consistent structure, we use abbreviations for each input. While this may initially seem complex, you'll quickly become familiar with them. Each abbreviation is also explained in the inline tooltips.
• Optimized for crypto trading: While many principles are common across markets, this strategy is specifically optimized and tested for crypto trading.
• Inputs: Connecting a connectable indicator directly to the strategy delivers the raw signal without a weight threshold, meaning every signal will trigger a trade.
█ A NOTE OF GRATITUDE
Through years of exploring TradingView and Pine Script, we've drawn immense inspiration from the community's knowledge and innovation. Thank you for being a constant source of motivation and insight.
█ RISK DISCLAIMER
Azullian's content, tools, scripts, articles, and educational offerings are presented purely for educational and informational uses. Please be aware that past performance should not be considered a predictor of future results.
3kilos BTC 15mThe "3kilos BTC 15m" is a comprehensive trading strategy designed to work on a 15-minute timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC) or other cryptocurrencies. This strategy combines multiple indicators, including Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA), Average True Range (ATR), and Heikin-Ashi candlesticks, to generate buy and sell signals. It also incorporates risk management features like take profit and stop loss.
Indicators
Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA): Three TEMA lines are used with different lengths and sources:
Short TEMA (Red) based on highs
Long TEMA 1 (Blue) based on lows
Long TEMA 2 (Green) based on closing prices
Average True Range (ATR): Custom ATR calculation with EMA smoothing is used for volatility measurement.
Supertrend: Calculated using ATR and a multiplier to determine the trend direction.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): Applied to the short TEMA to smooth out its values.
Heikin-Ashi Close: Used for additional trend confirmation.
Entry & Exit Conditions
Long Entry: Triggered when the short TEMA is above both long TEMA lines, the Supertrend is bullish, the short TEMA is above its SMA, and the Heikin-Ashi close is higher than the previous close.
Short Entry: Triggered when the short TEMA is below both long TEMA lines, the Supertrend is bearish, the short TEMA is below its SMA, and the Heikin-Ashi close is lower than the previous close.
Take Profit and Stop Loss: Both are calculated as a percentage of the entry price, and they are set for both long and short positions.
Risk Management
Take Profit: Set at 1% above the entry price for long positions and 1% below for short positions.
Stop Loss: Set at 3% below the entry price for long positions and 3% above for short positions.
Commission and Pyramiding
Commission: A 0.07% commission is accounted for in the strategy.
Pyramiding: The strategy does not allow pyramiding.
Note
This strategy is designed for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Orion:SagittaSagitta
Sagitta is an indicator the works to assist in the validation of potential long entries and to place stop-loss orders. Sagitta is not a "golden indicator" but more of a confirmation indicator of what prices might be suggesting.
The concept is that while stocks can turn in one bar, it usually takes two bars or more to signal a turn. So, using a measurement of two bars help determine the potential turning of prices.
Behind the scenes, Sagitta is nothing more than a 2 period stochastic which has had its values divided into five specific zones.
Dividing the range of the two bars in five sections, the High is equal to 100 and the Low is equal to 0.
The zones are:
20 = bearish (red) – This is when the close is the lower 20% of the two bars
40 = bearish (orange) – This is when the close is between the lower 20% and 40% of the two bars.
60 = neutral (yellow) – This is when the close is between the middle 40% - 60% of the two bars.
80 = bullish (blue) – This is when the close is between the upper 60% - 80% of the two bars.
100 = bullish (green) – This is when the close is above the upper 80% of the bar.
The general confirmation concept works as such:
When the following bar is of a higher value than the previous bar, there is potential for further upward price movement. Conversely when the following bar is lower than the previous bar, there is potential for further downward movement.
Going from a red bar to orange bar Might be an indication of a positive turn in direction of prices.
Going from a green bar to an orange bar would also be considered a negative directional turn of prices.
When the follow on bar decreases (ie, green to blue, blue to yellow, etc) placing a stop-loss would be prudent.
Maroon lines in the middle of a bar is an indication that prices are currently caught in consolidation.
Silver/Gray bars indicate that a high potential exists for a strong upward turn in prices exists.
Consolidation is calculated by determining if the close of one bar is between the high and low of another bar. This then establishes the range high and low. As long as closes continue with this range, the high and low of the range can expand. When the close is outside of the range, the consolidation is reset.
Signals in areas of consolidation (maroon center bar) should be looked upon as if the prices are going to challenge the high of the consolidation range and not necessarily break through.
The entry technique used is:
The greater of the following two calculations:
High of signal bar * 1.002 or High of signal bar + .03
The stop-loss technique used is:
The lesser of the following two calculations:
Low of signal bar * .998 or Low of signal bar - .03
IF an entry signal is generated and the price doesn’t reach the entry calculation. It is considered a failed entry and is not considered a negative or that you missed out on something. This has saved you from losing money since the prices are not ready to commit to the direction.
When placing a stop-loss, it is never suggested that you lower the value of a stop-loss. Always move your stop-losses higher in order to lock in profit in case of a negative turn.
Investments/swing trading strategy for different assetsStop worrying about catching the lowest price, it's almost impossible!: with this trend-following strategy and protection from bearish phases, you will know how to enter the market properly to obtain benefits in the long term.
Backtesting context: 1899-11-01 to 2023-02-16 of SPX by Tvc. Commissions: 0.05% for each entry, 0.05% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 5 indicators are used:
One Ema of 200 periods
Atr Stop loss indicator from Gatherio
Squeeze momentum indicator from LazyBear
Moving average convergence/divergence or Macd
Relative strength index or Rsi
Trade conditions:
There are three type of entries, one of them depends if we want to trade against a bearish trend or not.
---If we keep Against trend option deactivated, the rules for two type of entries are:---
First type of entry:
With the next rules, we will be able to entry in a pull back situation:
Squeeze momentum is under 0 line (red)
Close is above 200 Ema and close is higher than the past close
Histogram from macd is under 0 line and is higher than the past one
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
For closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Second type of entry:
With the next rules, we will not lose a possible bullish movement:
Close is above 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entry, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
---If we keep Against trend option activated, the rules are the same as the ones above, but with one more type of entry. This is more useful in weekly timeframes, but could also be used in daily time frame:---
Third type of entry:
Close is under 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entries, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Risk management
For calculating the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a buy signal at price of 4,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 3,900. You calculate the distance in percent between 4,000 and 3,900. In this case, that distance would be of 2.50%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(2,5%) = 1000usd. It means, you have to use 1000 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for applying compound interest.
In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
If you activate break even using rsi, when rsi crosses under overbought zone break even will be activated. This can work in some assets.
---Important: In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital---
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!
Some assets and timeframes where the strategy has also worked:
BTCUSD : 4H, 1D, W
SPX (US500) : 4H, 1D, W
GOLD : 1D, W
SILVER : 1D, W
ETHUSD : 4H, 1D
DXY : 1D
AAPL : 4H, 1D, W
AMZN : 4H, 1D, W
META : 4H, 1D, W
(and others stocks)
BANKNIFTY : 4H, 1D, W
DAX : 1D, W
RUT : 1D, W
HSI : 1D, W
NI225 : 1D, W
USDCOP : 1D, W
Harmonic Pattern Detection, Prediction, and Backtesting ToolOverview:
The ultimate harmonic XABCD pattern identification, prediction, and backtesting system.
Harmonic patterns are among the most accurate of trading signals, yet they're widely underutilized because they can be difficult to spot and tedious to validate. If you've ever come across a pattern and struggled with questions like "are these retracement ratios close enough to the harmonic ratios?" or "what are the Potential Reversal levels and are they confluent with point D?", then this tool is your new best friend. Or, if you've never traded harmonic patterns before, maybe it's time to start. Put away your drawing tools and calculators, relax, and let this indicator do the heavy lifting for you.
- Identification -
An exhaustive search across multiple pivot lengths ensures that even the sneakiest harmonic patterns are identified. Each pattern is evaluated and assigned a score, making it easy to differentiate weak patterns from strong ones. Tooltips under the pattern labels show a detailed breakdown of the pattern's score and retracement ratios (see the Scoring section below for details).
- Prediction -
After a pattern is identified, paths to potential targets are drawn, and Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) levels are plotted based on the retracement ratios of the harmonic pattern. Targets are customizable by pattern type (e.g. you can specify one set of targets for a Gartley and another for a Bat, etc).
- Backtesting -
A table shows the results of all the patterns found in the chart. Change your target, stop-loss, and % error inputs and observe how it affects your success rate.
//------------------------------------------------------
// Scoring
//------------------------------------------------------
A percentage-based score is calculated from four components:
(1) Retracement % Accuracy - this measures how closely the pattern's retracement ratios match the theoretical values (fibs) defined for a given harmonic pattern. You can change the "Allowed fib ratio error %" in Settings to be more or less inclusive.
(2) PRZ Level Confluence - Potential Reversal Zone levels are projected from retracements of the XA and BC legs. The PRZ Level Confluence component measures the closeness of the closest XA and BC retracement levels, relative to the total height of the PRZ.
(3) Point D / PRZ Confluence - this measures the closeness of point D to either of the closest two PRZ levels (identified in the PRZ Level Confluence component above), relative to the total height of the PRZ. In theory, the closer together these levels are, the higher the probability of a reversal.
(4) Leg Length Symmetry - this measures the ΔX symmetry of each leg. You can change the "Allowed leg length asymmetry %" in settings to be more or less inclusive.
So, a score of 100% would mean that (1) all leg retracements match the theoretical fib ratios exactly (to 16 decimal places), (2) the closest XA and BC PRZ levels are exactly the same, (3) point D is exactly at the confluent PRZ level, and (4) all legs are exactly the same number of bars. While this is theoretically possible, you have better odds of getting struck by lightning twice on a sunny day.
Calculation weights of all four components can be changed in Settings.
//------------------------------------------------------
// Targets
//------------------------------------------------------
A hard-coded set of targets are available to choose from, and can be applied to each pattern type individually:
(1) .618 XA = .618 retracement of leg XA, measured from point D
(2) 1.272 XA = 1.272 retracement of leg XA, measured from point D
(3) 1.618 XA = 1.618 retracement of leg XA, measured from point D
(4) .618 CD = .618 retracement of leg CD, measured from point D
(5) 1.272 CD = 1.272 retracement of leg CD, measured from point D
(6) 1.618 CD = 1.618 retracement of leg CD, measured from point D
(7) A = point A
(8) B = point B
(9) C = point C
//------------------------------------------------------
// Stops
//------------------------------------------------------
Stop-loss levels are also user-defined, in one of three ways:
(1) % beyond the furthest PRZ level (below the PRZ level for bullish patterns, and above for bearish)
(2) % beyond point D
(3) % of distance to Target 1, beyond point D. This method allows for a proper Risk:Reward approach by defining your potential losses as a percentage of the potential gains. This is the default.
//------------------------------------------------------
// Results Table / Backtesting Statistics
//------------------------------------------------------
To properly assess the effectiveness of a specific pattern type, a time limit is enforced for a completed pattern to reach the targets or the stop level. When this time limit expires, the pattern has "timed out", and is no longer considered in the Success Rate statistics. During the time limit period, if price reaches Target 1 before reaching the Stop level, the pattern is considered successful. Conversely, if price reaches the Stop level before reaching Target 1, the pattern is considered a failure. The time limit can be changed in Settings, and is defined in terms of the total pattern length (point X to point D). It is set to 1.5 by default.
Increasing the time limit value will give you more realistic Success Rate values, but will less accurately represent the success rate of the harmonic patterns (i.e. the more time that elapses after a pattern completes, the less likely it is that the price action is related to that pattern).
//------------------------------------------------------
// Coming soon...
//------------------------------------------------------
I have a handful of other features in development, including:
(1) Drawing incomplete patterns as they develop. This will allow you more time to plan entries and stops, or potentially trade reversals from point C to point D PRZ levels.
(2) Support for the Shark and Cypher patterns
(3) Alerts
Please report any bugs, runtime errors, other issues or enhancement suggestions.
I also welcome any feedback from experienced harmonic pattern traders, especially regarding your strategy for setting targets and stop-losses.
@reees
Grid Like StrategyIt is possible to use progressive position sizing in order to recover from past losses, a well-known position sizing system being the "martingale", which consists of doubling your position size after a loss, this allows you to recover any previous losses in a losing streak + winning an extra. This system has seen a lot of attention from the trading community (mostly from beginners), and many strategies have been designed around the martingale, one of them being "grid trading strategies".
While such strategies often shows promising results on paper, they are often subjects to many frictions during live trading that makes them totally unusable and dangerous to the trader. The motivations behind posting such a strategy isn't to glorify such systems, but rather to present the problems behind them, many users come to me with their ideas and glorious ways to make money, sometimes they present strategies using the martingale, and it is important to present the flaws of this methodology rather than blindly saying "you shouldn't use it".
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the symbol you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, as such higher values will generate fewer trades.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after any wins.
The Grid
Grid strategies are commons and do not present huge problems until we use certain position sizing methods such as the martingale. A martingale is extremely sensitive to any kind of friction (frictional costs, slippage...etc), the grid strategy aims to provide a stable and simple environment where a martingale might possibly behave well.
The goal of a simple grid strategy is to go long once the price crossover a certain level, a take profit is set at the level above the current one and stop loss is placed at the level below the current one, in a winning scenario the price reach the take profit, the position is closed and a new one is opened with the same setup. In a losing scenario, the price reaches the stop loss level, the position is closed and a short one is opened, the take profit is set at the level below the current one, and a stop loss is set at the level above the current one. Note that all levels are equally spaced.
It follows from this strategy that wins and losses should be constant over time, as such our balance would evolve in a linear fashion. This is a great setup for a martingale, as we are theoretically assured to recover all the looses in a losing streak.
Martingale - Exponential Decays - Risk/Reward
By using a martingale we double our position size (exposure) each time we lose a trade, if we look at our balance when using a martingale we see significant drawdowns, with our balance peaking down significantly. The martingale sequence is subject to exponential growth, as such using a martingale makes our balance exposed to exponential decays, that's really bad, we could basically lose all the initially invested capital in a short amount of time, it follows from this that the theoretical success of a martingale is determined by what is the maximum losing streak you can endure
Now consider how a martingale affects our risk-reward ratio, assuming unity position sizing our martingale sequence can be described by 2^(x-1) , using this formula we would get the amount of shares/contracts we need to purchase at the x trade of a losing streak, we would need to purchase 256 contracts in order to recover from a losing streak of size 9, this is enormous when you take into account that your wins are way smaller, the risk-reward ratio is totally unfair.
Of course, some users might think that a losing streak of size 9 is pretty unlikely, if the probability of winning and losing are both equal to 0.5, then the probability of 9 consecutive losses is equal to 0.5^9 , there are approximately 0.2% of chance of having such large losing streak, note however that under a ranging market such case scenario could happen, but we will see later that the length of a losing streak is not the only problem.
Other Problems
Having a capital large enough to tank 9any number of consecutive losses is not the only thing one should focus on, as we have to take into account market prices and trading dynamics, that's where the ugly part start.
Our first problem is frictional costs, one example being the spread, but this is a common problem for any strategy, however here a martingale is extra sensitive to it, if the strategy does not account for it then we will still double our positions costs but we might not recover all the losses of a losing streak, instead we would be recovering only a proportion of it, under such scenario you would be certain to lose over time.
Another problem are gaps, market price might open under a stop-loss without triggering it, and this is a big no-no.
Equity of the strategy on AMD, in a desired scenario the equity at the second arrow should have been at a higher position than the equity at the first arrow.
In order for the strategy to be more effective, we would need to trade a market that does not close, such as the cryptocurrency market. Finally, we might be affected by slippage, altho only extreme values might drastically affect our balance.
The Anti Martingale
The strategy lets you use an anti-martingale, which double the position size after a win instead of a loss, the goal here is not to recover from a losing strike but instead to profit from a potential winning streak.
Here we are exposing your balance to exponential gross but you might also lose a trade at the end a winning streak, you will generally want to reinitialize your position size after a few wins instead of waiting for the end of a streak.
Alternative
You can use other-kind of progressions for position sizing, such as a linear one, increasing your position size by a constant number each time you lose. More gentle progressions will recover a proportion of your losses in a losing streak.
You can also simulate the effect of a martingale without doubling your position size by doubling your target profit, if for example you have a 10$ profit-target/stop-loss and lose a trade, you can use a 20$ profit target to recover from the lost trade + gain a profit of 10$. While this approach does not introduce exponential decay in your balance, you are betting on the market reaching your take profits, considering the fact that you are doubling their size you are expecting market volatility to increase drastically over time, as such this approach would not be extremely effective for high losing streak.
Conclusion
You will see a lot of auto-trading strategies that are based on a grid approach, they might even use a martingale. While the backtests will look appealing, you should think twice before using such kind of strategy, remember that frictional costs will be a huge challenge for the strategy, and that it assumes that the trader has an important initial capital. We have also seen that the risk/reward ratio is theoretically the worst you can have on a strategy, having a low reward and a high risk. This does not mean that progressive position sizing is bad, but it should not be pushed to the extreme.
It is nice to note that the martingale is originally a betting system designed for casino games, which unlike trading are not subject to frictional costs, but even casino players don't use it, so why would you?
Thx for reading
5m Exit AlertsThese can help a lot with Daytrading if you don't have a price target in mind when there's no clear resistance / support nearby, and you don't trust the market enough to hold it as a swing trade.
Keep in mind that its main purpose is to give you a "warning" that it might be good to look at your screen, instead of guaranteeing you "now is the best time to exit". You won't reach high winning stats by blindly following this alert.
"A Exit LONG":
(I'm using letters instead of numbers for all Exit alerts to make sure I don't accidentally confuse Enter and Exit alerts).
There are 4 conditions that might trigger it. The reasons show up in the exit alert message (unfortunately only as a number, since alert messages can't have "dynamic text" in TradingView), and can also be displayed as symbols in the chart (see image above - make sure to enable "Show Signals" in the indicator settings first though).
Here are the conditions sorted from best to worst:
Technical reversal: Bearish Hammer candle with Volume > 2 * avg volume (of last 30 candles), when 5m candle closed. Reversal very likely. This is usually the best time to take your gains for the rest of the day.
EMA 3/8 cross: standard 5m EMA 3/8 cross, indicating a trend reversal, or at least a pullback. Can also be helpful to detect double tops / double bottoms.
Trailing Stop Loss: Crossed below 30m EMA 8, 5m candle closed. This is a "fallback" alert in case EMA 3 was already below EMA 8 before you set up the alert. It's not unlikely that the stock might go further down to VWAP, so depending on the chart and market this might be a good opportunity to save the gains you have left.
"Final" Stop Loss: Crossed below VWAP. Usually not a good sign. If you entered around VWAP your losses shouldn't be big yet, but if you plan on holding the stock the Daily chart and market outlook should better be quite convincing, and you wouldn't have needed to use this alert in the first place.
Keep in mind these work of course best if you picked a "good" stock: clear movement, tidy price action, high volume. Otherwise alerts are more likely to be triggered redundantly.
Always consider how the market and stock looks like, then decide whether to exit or not! Usually it makes sense to wait a bit to see f. e. whether the stock bounces off the 30m EMA 8, and it's just a pullback.
"B Enter SHORT":
Similar, but for shorts...
"C 1m Scalp LONG" + "D 1m Scalp SHORT":
Simple Scalping alert for EMA 3/8 cross on a 1m chart - but without needing to use a 1m chart to set it up!
Unfortunately it's not as accurate as manually setting this alert up on a 1m chart. It might be an advantage though that it sometimes is triggered 1-2 min later, since this means there are less redundant triggerings.
It can be useful esp. on high momentum trades, but I honestly haven't used it in a looong while.
"X Candle Close":
same as in 5m Entry indicator: triggered when 5m candle is confirmed
"Z Trend Change: UP" + "Z Trend Change: DOWN":
This one is meant to be used only on SPY: It alerts you when SPY is changing its trending direction, which might mean entering or closing existing trades.
I have therefore set it up to never end (by setting it to "Once Per Bar Close" in the alert settings).
It's based on DMI positive or negative being > 25. I had it based on VWAP at the beginning, but there were days where it was triggered every 5 minutes...
More infos: www.reddit.com
Breakout Range Signal with Quality Analysis [Dova Lazarus]📌 Breakout Range Signal with Quality Analysis
🎓 Training-focused indicator for breakout logic, SL & TP behavior and signal quality assessment
🔷 PURPOSE
This tool identifies breakout candles from a calculated channel range and visually simulates entries, stop losses, and take profits, providing live and historical performance metrics.
⚙️ MAIN SETTINGS
1️⃣ Channel Setup
channel_length = 10 → how many candles are averaged to form channel boundaries
channel_multiplier = 0.0 → adds expansion above/below the base channel
channel_smoothing_type = SMA → smoothing method for high/low averaging
📊 The channel consists of two moving averages: one from highs, the other from lows. When expanded (via multiplier), it creates a buffer range for breakout validation.
2️⃣ Signal Detection
Body > Channel % = 50 → a breakout candle's body must exceed 150% of the channel width
Signal Mode:
• Weak → every valid breakout candle is highlighted
• Strong → only the first signal in a sequence is shown (helps reduce noise)
🟦 Bullish signals (blue):
• Candle opens inside the channel
• Closes above the channel
• Body is large enough
• Optional: confirms with trend (if enabled)
🟨 Bearish signals (yellow):
• Candle opens inside the channel
• Closes below the channel
• Body is large enough
• Optional: confirms with trend
3️⃣ Trend Filter (optional)
Enabled via checkbox
Uses a higher timeframe MA to filter signals
Bullish signals are allowed only if price is below the trend MA
Bearish signals only if price is above it
⏱️ trend_timeframe = 1D (typically set higher than the chart's timeframe)
🟢 Trend line is plotted if enabled
🎯 ENTRY, STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT LOGIC
SL and TP are based on channel width, not fixed pip/tick size:
📍 Entry Price = close of the breakout candle
🛑 Stop Loss:
• Bullish → below the lower channel border (minus offset)
• Bearish → above the upper channel border (plus offset)
🎯 Take Profit:
• Bullish → entry + channel width × profit multiplier
• Bearish → entry − channel width × profit multiplier
You can control:
Profit Target Multiplier (e.g., 1.0 → TP = 1×channel width)
Stop Loss Target Multiplier (e.g., 0.5 → SL = 0.5×channel width)
Signals to Show = how many historical SL/TP setups to display
📈 Lines and labels ("TP", "SL") are drawn on the chart for clarity.
🧪 QUALITY ANALYSIS MODULE
If enabled, the indicator will:
Track each new signal (entry, SL, TP)
Analyze outcomes:
• Win = TP hit before SL
• Loss = SL hit before TP
• Expired = signal unresolved after N bars
Display statistics in a table (top-right corner):
📋 Table fields:
✅ Overall win rate
📈 Bullish win rate
📉 Bearish win rate
🔢 Total signals
🕓 Pending (still active trades)
Maximum bars to wait for outcome is customizable (max_bars_to_analyze).
📐 VISUALIZATION TOOLS
TP / SL lines per signal
Labels “TP” and “SL”
Optional channel lines and trendline for better context
Colored bars for valid signals (blue/yellow)
📌 BEST USE CASES
Understand how breakout signals are formed
Learn SL/TP logic based on dynamic range
Test how volatility affects trade outcomes
Use as a visual simulation of trade behavior over time
Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners:
Welcome to the Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners , a strategy and concept that’s your ultimate wingman for trading futures like MNQ, NQ, MES, and ES. This gem combines lightning-fast momentum signals, market sentiment smarts, and bulletproof risk management into a system so intuitive, even newbies can trade like pros. With clean DAFE visuals, preset modes for every vibe, and a revamped dashboard that’s basically a market GPS, this strategy makes futures trading feel like a high-octane sci-fi mission.
Built on the Dskyz (DAFE) legacy of Aurora Divergence, the Quantum Sentiment Flux is designed to empower beginners while giving seasoned traders a lean, sentiment-driven edge. It uses fast/slow EMA crossovers for entries, filters trades with VIX, SPX trends, and sector breadth, and keeps your account safe with adaptive stops and cooldowns. Tuned for more action with faster signals and a slick bottom-left dashboard, this updated version is ready to light up your charts and outsmart institutional traps. Let’s dive into why this strat’s a must-have and break down its brilliance.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a wild ride—fast moves, volatility spikes (like the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop), and institutional games that can wreck unprepared traders. Beginners often get lost in complex systems or burned by impulsive trades. The Quantum Sentiment Flux is the antidote, offering:
Dead-Simple Setup: Preset modes (Aggressive, Balanced, Conservative) auto-tune signals, risk, and sizing, so you can trade without a quant degree.
Sentiment Superpower: VIX filter, SPX trend, and sector breadth visuals keep you aligned with market health, dodging chop and riding trends.
Ironclad Safety: Tighter ATR-based stops, 2:1 take-profits, and preset cooldowns protect your capital, even in chaotic sessions.
Next-Level Visuals: Green/red entry triangles, vibrant EMAs, a sector breadth background, and a beefed-up dashboard make signals and context pop.
DAFE Swagger: The clean aesthetics, sleek dashboard—ties it to Dskyz’s elite brand, making your charts a work of art.
Traders need this because it’s a plug-and-play system that blends beginner-friendly simplicity with pro-level market awareness. Whether you’re just starting or scalping 5min MNQ, this strat’s your key to trading with confidence and style.
Strategy Components
1. Core Signal Logic (High-Speed Momentum)
The strategy’s engine is a momentum-based system using fast and slow Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), now tuned for faster, more frequent trades.
How It Works:
Fast/Slow EMAs: Fast EMA (Aggressive: 5, Balanced: 7, Conservative: 9 bars) and slow EMA (12/14/18 bars) track short-term vs. longer-term momentum.
Crossover Signals:
Buy: Fast EMA crosses above slow EMA, and trend_dir = 1 (fast EMA > slow EMA + ATR * strength threshold).
Sell: Fast EMA crosses below slow EMA, and trend_dir = -1 (fast EMA < slow EMA - ATR * strength threshold).
Strength Filter: ma_strength = fast EMA - slow EMA must exceed an ATR-scaled threshold (Aggressive: 0.15, Balanced: 0.18, Conservative: 0.25) for robust signals.
Trend Direction: trend_dir confirms momentum, filtering out weak crossovers in choppy markets.
Evolution:
Faster EMAs (down from 7–10/21–50) catch short-term trends, perfect for active futures markets.
Lower strength thresholds (0.15–0.25 vs. 0.3–0.5) make signals more sensitive, boosting trade frequency without sacrificing quality.
Preset tuning ensures beginners get optimized settings, while pros can tweak via mode selection.
2. Market Sentiment Filters
The strategy leans hard into market sentiment with a VIX filter, SPX trend analysis, and sector breadth visuals, keeping trades aligned with the big picture.
VIX Filter:
Logic: Blocks long entries if VIX > threshold (default: 20, can_long = vix_close < vix_limit). Shorts are always allowed (can_short = true).
Impact: Prevents longs during high-fear markets (e.g., VIX spikes in crashes), while allowing shorts to capitalize on downturns.
SPX Trend Filter:
Logic: Compares S&P 500 (SPX) close to its SMA (Aggressive: 5, Balanced: 8, Conservative: 12 bars). spx_trend = 1 (UP) if close > SMA, -1 (DOWN) if < SMA, 0 (FLAT) if neutral.
Impact: Provides dashboard context, encouraging trades that align with market direction (e.g., longs in UP trend).
Sector Breadth (Visual):
Logic: Tracks 10 sector ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, etc.) vs. their SMAs (same lengths as SPX). Each sector scores +1 (bullish), -1 (bearish), or 0 (neutral), summed as breadth (-10 to +10).
Display: Green background if breadth > 4, red if breadth < -4, else neutral. Dashboard shows sector trends (↑/↓/-).
Impact: Faster SMA lengths make breadth more responsive, reflecting sector rotations (e.g., tech surging, energy lagging).
Why It’s Brilliant:
- VIX filter adds pro-level volatility awareness, saving beginners from panic-driven losses.
- SPX and sector breadth give a 360° view of market health, boosting signal confidence (e.g., green BG + buy signal = high-probability trade).
- Shorter SMAs make sentiment visuals react faster, perfect for 5min charts.
3. Risk Management
The risk controls are a fortress, now tighter and more dynamic to support frequent trading while keeping accounts safe.
Preset-Based Risk:
Aggressive: Fast EMAs (5/12), tight stops (1.1x ATR), 1-bar cooldown. High trade frequency, higher risk.
Balanced: EMAs (7/14), 1.2x ATR stops, 1-bar cooldown. Versatile for most traders.
Conservative: EMAs (9/18), 1.3x ATR stops, 2-bar cooldown. Safer, fewer trades.
Impact: Auto-scales risk to match style, making it foolproof for beginners.
Adaptive Stops and Take-Profits:
Logic: Stops = entry ± ATR * atr_mult (1.1–1.3x, down from 1.2–2.0x). Take-profits = entry ± ATR * take_mult (2x stop distance, 2:1 reward/risk). Longs: stop below entry, TP above; shorts: vice versa.
Impact: Tighter stops increase trade turnover while maintaining solid risk/reward, adapting to volatility.
Trade Cooldown:
Logic: Preset-driven (Aggressive/Balanced: 1 bar, Conservative: 2 bars vs. old user-input 2). Ensures bar_index - last_trade_bar >= cooldown.
Impact: Faster cooldowns (especially Aggressive/Balanced) allow more trades, balanced by VIX and strength filters.
Contract Sizing:
Logic: User sets contracts (default: 1, max: 10), no preset cap (unlike old 7/5/3 suggestion).
Impact: Flexible but risks over-leverage; beginners should stick to low contracts.
Built To Be Reliable and Consistent:
- Tighter stops and faster cooldowns make it a high-octane system without blowing up accounts.
- Preset-driven risk removes guesswork, letting newbies trade confidently.
- 2:1 TPs ensure profitable trades outweigh losses, even in volatile sessions like April 27, 2025 ES slippage.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
The entry/exit rules are simple yet razor-sharp, now with VIX filtering and faster signals:
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: buy_signal (fast EMA crosses above slow EMA, trend_dir = 1), no position (strategy.position_size = 0), cooldown passed (can_trade), and VIX < 20 (can_long). Enters with user-defined contracts.
Short Entry: sell_signal (fast EMA crosses below slow EMA, trend_dir = -1), no position, cooldown passed, can_short (always true).
Logic: Tracks last_entry_bar for visuals, last_trade_bar for cooldowns.
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: ATR-based stops (1.1–1.3x) and TPs (2x stop distance). Longs exit if price hits stop (below) or TP (above); shorts vice versa.
No Other Exits: Keeps it straightforward, relying on stops/TPs.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are pure DAFE magic, blending clean function with informative metrics utilized by professionals, now enhanced by faster signals and a responsive breadth background:
EMA Plots:
Display: Fast EMA (blue, 2px), slow EMA (orange, 2px), using faster lengths (5–9/12–18).
Purpose: Highlights momentum shifts, with crossovers signaling entries.
Sector Breadth Background:
Display: Green (90% transparent) if breadth > 4, red (90%) if breadth < -4, else neutral.
Purpose: Faster breadth_sma_len (5–12 vs. 10–50) reflects sector shifts in real-time, reinforcing signal strength.
- Visuals are intuitive, turning complex signals into clear buy/sell cues.
- Faster breadth background reacts to market rotations (e.g., tech vs. energy), giving a pro-level edge.
6. Sector Breadth Dashboard
The new bottom-left dashboard is a game-changer, a 3x16 table (black/gray theme) that’s your market command center:
Metrics:
VIX: Current VIX (red if > 20, gray if not).
SPX: Trend as “UP” (green), “DOWN” (red), or “FLAT” (gray).
Trade Longs: “OK” (green) if VIX < 20, “BLOCK” (red) if not.
Sector Breadth: 10 sectors (Tech, Financial, etc.) with trend arrows (↑ green, ↓ red, - gray).
Placeholder Row: Empty for future metrics (e.g., ATR, breadth score).
Purpose: Consolidates regime, volatility, market trend, and sector data, making decisions a breeze.
- VIX and SPX metrics add context, helping beginners avoid bad trades (e.g., no longs if “BLOCK”).
Sector arrows show market health at a glance, like a cheat code for sentiment.
Key Features
Beginner-Ready: Preset modes and clear visuals make futures trading a breeze.
Sentiment-Driven: VIX filter, SPX trend, and sector breadth keep you in sync with the market.
High-Frequency: Faster EMAs, tighter stops, and short cooldowns boost trade volume.
Safe and Smart: Adaptive stops/TPs and cooldowns protect capital while maximizing wins.
Visual Mastery: DAFE’s clean flair, EMAs, dashboard—makes trading fun and clear.
Backtestable: Lean code and fixed qty ensure accurate historical testing.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min MNQ/ES chart in TradingView.
Pick Preset: Aggressive (scalping), Balanced (versatile), or Conservative (safe). Balanced is default.
Set Contracts: Default 1, max 10. Stick low for safety.
Check Dashboard: Bottom-left shows preset, VIX, SPX, and sectors. “OK” + green breadth = strong buy.
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to compare modes.
Live Trade: Connect to Tradovate or similar. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Try April 28, 2025 NQ drop to see VIX filter and stops in action.
Why It’s Brilliant
The Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners is a masterpiece of simplicity and power. It takes pro-level tools—momentum, VIX, sector breadth—and wraps them in a system anyone can run. Faster signals and tighter stops make it a trading machine, while the VIX filter and dashboard keep you ahead of market chaos. The DAFE visuals and bottom-left command center turn your chart into a futuristic cockpit, guiding you through every trade. For beginners, it’s a safe entry to futures; for pros, it’s a scalping beast with sentiment smarts. This strat doesn’t just trade—it transforms how you see the market.
Final Notes
This is more than a strategy—it’s your launchpad to mastering futures with Dskyz (DAFE) flair. The Quantum Sentiment Flux blends accessibility, speed, and market savvy to help you outsmart the game. Load it, watch those triangles glow, and let’s make the markets your canvas!
Official Statement from Pine Script Team
(see TradingView help docs and forums):
"This warning may appear when you call functions such as ta.sma inside a request.security in a loop. There is no runtime impact. If you need to loop through a dynamic list of tickers, this cannot be avoided in the present version... Values will still be correct. Ignore this warning in such contexts."
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade fast, trade bold.
RSI Failure Swing Pattern (with Alerts & Targets)RSI Failure Swing Pattern Indicator – Detailed Description
Overview
The RSI Failure Swing Pattern Indicator is a trend reversal detection tool based on the principles of failure swings in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicator identifies key reversal signals by analyzing RSI swings and confirming trend shifts using predefined overbought and oversold conditions.
Failure swing patterns are one of the strongest RSI-based reversal signals, initially introduced by J. Welles Wilder. This indicator detects these patterns and provides clear buy/sell signals with labeled entry, stop-loss, and profit target levels. The tool is designed to work across all timeframes and assets.
How the Indicator Works
The RSI Failure Swing Pattern consists of two key structures:
1. Bullish Failure Swing (Buy Signal)
Occurs when RSI enters oversold territory (below 30), recovers, forms a higher low above the oversold level, and finally breaks above the intermediate swing high in RSI.
Step 1: RSI dips below 30 (oversold condition).
Step 2: RSI rebounds and forms a local peak.
Step 3: RSI retraces but does not go below the previous low (higher low confirmation).
Step 4: RSI breaks above the previous peak, confirming a bullish trend reversal.
Buy signal is triggered at the breakout above the RSI peak.
2. Bearish Failure Swing (Sell Signal)
Occurs when RSI enters overbought territory (above 70), declines, forms a lower high below the overbought level, and then breaks below the intermediate swing low in RSI.
Step 1: RSI rises above 70 (overbought condition).
Step 2: RSI declines and forms a local trough.
Step 3: RSI bounces but fails to exceed the previous high (lower high confirmation).
Step 4: RSI breaks below the previous trough, confirming a bearish trend reversal.
Sell signal is triggered at the breakdown below the RSI trough.
Features of the Indicator
Custom RSI Settings: Adjustable RSI length (default 14), overbought/oversold levels.
Buy & Sell Signals: Buy/sell signals are plotted directly on the price chart.
Entry, Stop-Loss, and Profit Targets:
Entry: Price at the breakout of the RSI failure swing pattern.
Stop-Loss: Lowest low (for buy) or highest high (for sell) of the previous two bars.
Profit Targets: Two levels calculated based on Risk-Reward ratios (1:1 and 1:2 by default, customizable).
Labeled Price Levels:
Entry Price Line (Blue): Marks the point of trade entry.
Stop-Loss Line (Red): Shows the calculated stop-loss level.
Target 1 Line (Orange): Profit target at 1:1 risk-reward ratio.
Target 2 Line (Green): Profit target at 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Alerts for Trade Execution:
Buy/Sell signals trigger alerts for real-time notifications.
Alerts fire when price reaches stop-loss or profit targets.
Works on Any Timeframe & Asset: Suitable for stocks, forex, crypto, indices, and commodities.
Why Use This Indicator?
Highly Reliable Reversal Signals: Unlike simple RSI overbought/oversold strategies, failure swings filter out false breakouts and provide strong confirmation of trend reversals.
Risk Management Built-In: Stop-loss and take-profit levels are automatically set based on historical price action and risk-reward considerations.
Easy-to-Use Visualization: Clearly marked entry, stop-loss, and profit target levels make it beginner-friendly while still being valuable for experienced traders.
How to Trade with the Indicator
Buy Trade Example (Bullish Failure Swing)
RSI drops below 30 and recovers.
RSI forms a higher low and then breaks above the previous peak.
Entry: Buy when RSI crosses above its previous peak.
Stop-Loss: Set below the lowest low of the previous two candles.
Profit Targets:
Target 1 (1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio)
Target 2 (1:2 Risk-Reward Ratio)
Sell Trade Example (Bearish Failure Swing)
RSI rises above 70 and then declines.
RSI forms a lower high and then breaks below the previous trough.
Entry: Sell when RSI crosses below its previous trough.
Stop-Loss: Set above the highest high of the previous two candles.
Profit Targets:
Target 1 (1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio)
Target 2 (1:2 Risk-Reward Ratio)
Final Thoughts
The RSI Failure Swing Pattern Indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to identify high-probability trend reversals. By using the RSI failure swing concept along with built-in risk management tools, this indicator provides a structured approach to trading with clear entry and exit points. Whether you’re a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator helps in capturing momentum shifts while minimizing risk.
Would you like any modifications or additional features? 🚀
Adaptive RSI with Real-Time Divergence [AIBitcoinTrend]👽 Adaptive RSI Trailing Stop (AIBitcoinTrend)
The Adaptive RSI Trailing Stop is an indicator that integrates Gaussian-weighted RSI calculations with real-time divergence detection and a dynamic ATR-based trailing stop. This advanced approach allows traders to monitor momentum shifts, identify divergences early, and manage risk with adaptive trailing stop levels that adjust to price action.
👽 What Makes the Adaptive RSI with Signals and Trailing Stop Unique?
Unlike traditional RSI indicators, this version applies a Gaussian-weighted smoothing algorithm, making it more responsive to price action while reducing noise. Additionally, the trailing stop feature dynamically adjusts based on volatility and trend conditions, allowing traders to:
Detects real-time divergences (bullish/bearish) with a smart pivot-based system.
Filter noise with Gaussian weighting, ensuring smoother RSI transitions.
Utilize crossover-based trailing stop activation, for systematic trade management.
👽 The Math Behind the Indicator
👾 Gaussian Weighted RSI Calculation
Traditional RSI calculations rely on simple averages of gains and losses. Instead, this indicator weights recent price changes using a Gaussian distribution, prioritizing more relevant data points while maintaining smooth transitions.
Key Features:
Exponential decay ensures recent price changes are weighted more heavily.
Reduces short-term noise while maintaining responsiveness.
👾 Real-Time Divergence Detection
The indicator detects bullish and bearish divergences using pivot points on RSI compared to price action.
👾 Dynamic ATR-Based Trailing Stop
Bullish Trailing Stop: Activates when RSI crosses above 20 and dynamically adjusts based on low - ATR multiplier.
Bearish Trailing Stop: Activates when RSI crosses below 80 and adjusts based on high + ATR multiplier
This allows traders to:
Lock in profits systematically by adjusting stop-losses dynamically.
Stay in trades longer while maintaining adaptive risk management.
👽 How It Adapts to Market Movements
✔️ Gaussian Filtering ensures smooth RSI transitions while preventing excessive lag.
✔️ Real-Time Divergence Alerts provide early trade signals based on price-RSI discrepancies.
✔️ ATR Trailing Stop dynamically expands or contracts based on market volatility.
✔️ Crossover-Based Activation enables the stop-loss system only when RSI confirms a momentum shift.
👽 How Traders Can Use This Indicator
👾 Divergence Trading
Traders can use real-time divergence detection to anticipate reversals before they happen.
Bullish Divergence Setup:
Look for RSI making a higher low, while price makes a lower low.
Enter long when RSI confirms upward momentum.
Bearish Divergence Setup:
Look for RSI making a lower high, while price makes a higher high.
Enter short when RSI confirms downward momentum.
👾 Trailing Stop Signals
Bullish Signal and Trailing Stop Activation:
When RSI crosses above 20, a trailing stop is placed using low - ATR multiplier.
If price crosses below the stop, it exits the trade and removes the stop.
Bearish Signal and Trailing Stop Activation:
When RSI crosses below 80, a trailing stop is placed using high + ATR multiplier.
If price crosses above the stop, it exits the trade and removes the stop.
This makes trend-following strategies more efficient, while ensuring proper risk management.
👽 Why It’s Useful for Traders
✔️ Dynamic and Adaptive: Adjusts to changing market conditions automatically.
✔️ Noise Reduction: Gaussian-weighted RSI reduces short-term price distortions.
✔️ Comprehensive Strategy Tool: Combines momentum detection, divergence analysis, and automated risk management into a single indicator.
✔️ Works Across Markets & Timeframes: Suitable for stocks, forex, crypto, and futures trading.
👽 Indicator Settings
RSI Length: Defines the lookback period for RSI smoothing.
Gaussian Sigma: Controls how much weight is given to recent data points.
Enable Signal Line: Option to display an RSI-based moving average.
Divergence Lookback: Configures how far back pivot points are detected.
Crossover/crossunder values for signals: Set the crossover/crossunder values that triggers signals.
ATR Multiplier: Adjusts trailing stop sensitivity to market volatility.
Disclaimer: This indicator is designed for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Price Action Trend and Margin EquityThe Price Action Trend and Margin Equity indicator is a multifunctional market analysis tool that combines elements of money management and price pattern analysis. The indicator helps traders identify key price action patterns and determine optimal entry, exit and stop loss levels based on the current trend.
The main components of the indicator:
Money Management:
Allows the trader to set risk management parameters such as the percentage of possible loss on the position, the use of fixed leverage and the total capital.
Calculates the required leverage level to achieve a specified percentage of loss.
Price Action:
Correctly identifies various price patterns such as Pin Bar, Engulfing Bar, PPR Bar and Inside Bar.
Displays these patterns on the chart with the ability to customize candle colors and display styles.
Allows the trader to customize take profit and stop loss points to display them on the chart.
The ability to display patterns only in the direction of the trend.
Trend: (some code taken from ChartPrime)
Uses a trend cloud to visualize the current market direction.
The trend cloud is displayed on the chart and helps traders determine whether the market is in an uptrend or a downtrend.
Alert:
Allows you to set an alert that will be triggered when the pattern is formed.
Example of use:
Let's say a trader uses the indicator to trade the crypto market. He sets the money management parameters, setting the maximum loss per position to 5% and using a fixed leverage of 1:100. The indicator automatically calculates the required position size to meet these parameters ($: on the label). Or displays the leverage (X: on the label) to achieve the required risk.
The trader receives an alert when a Pin Bar is formed. The indicator displays the entry, exit, and stop loss levels based on this pattern. The trader opens a position for the recommended amount in the direction indicated by the indicator and sets the stop loss and take profit at the recommended levels.
General Settings:
Position Loss Percentage: Sets the maximum loss percentage you are willing to take on a single position.
Use Fixed Leverage: Enables or disables the use of fixed leverage.
Fixed Leverage: Sets the fixed leverage level.
Total Equity: Specifies the total equity you are using for trading. (Required for calculation when using fixed leverage)
Turn Patterns On/Off: You can turn on or off the display of various price patterns such as Pin Bar, Outside Bar (Engulfing), Inside Bar, and PPR Bar.
Pattern Colors: Sets the colors for displaying each pattern on the chart.
Candle Color: Allows you to set a neutral color for candles that do not match the price action.
Show Lines: Allows you to turn on or off the display of labels and lines.
Line Length: Sets the length of the stop, entry, and take profit lines.
Label color: One color for all labels (configured below) or the color of the labels in the color of the candle pattern.
Pin entry: Select the entry point for the pin bar: candle head, bar close, or 50% of the candle.
Coefficients for stop and take lines.
Use trend for price action: When enabled, will show price action signals only in the direction of the trend.
Display trend cloud: Enables or disables the display of the trend cloud.
Cloud calculation period: Sets the period for which the maximum and minimum values for the cloud are calculated. The longer the period, the smoother the cloud will be.
Cloud colors: Sets the colors for uptrends and downtrends, as well as the transparency of the cloud.
The logic of the indicator:
Pin Bar is a candle with a long upper or lower shadow and a short body.
Logic: If the length of one shadow is twice the body and the opposite shadow of the candle, it is considered a Pin Bar.
An Inside Bar is a candle that is completely engulfed by the previous candle.
Logic: If the high and low of the current candle are inside the previous candle, it is an Inside Bar.
An Outside Bar or Engulfing is a candle that completely engulfs the previous candle.
Logic: If the high and low of the current candle are outside the previous candle and close outside the previous candle, it is an Outside Bar.
A PPR Bar is a candle that closes above or below the previous candle.
Logic: If the current candle closes above the high of the previous candle or below its low, it is a PPR Bar.
Stop Loss Levels: Calculated based on the specified ratios. If set to 1.0, it shows the correct stop for the pattern by pushing away from the entry point.
Take Profit Levels: Calculated based on the specified ratios.
Create a Label: The label is created at the stop loss level and contains information about the potential leverage and loss.
The formula for calculating the $ value is:
=(Total Capital x (Maximum Loss Percentage on Position/100)) / (Difference between Entry Level and Stop Loss Level × Ratio that sets the stop loss level relative to the length of the candlestick shadow × Fixed Leverage Value) .
Labels contain the following information:
The percentage of price change from the recommended entry point to the stop loss level.
Required Leverage (X: ): The amount of leverage required to achieve the specified loss percentage. (Or a fixed value if selected).
Required Capital ($: ): The amount of capital required to open a position with the specified leverage and loss percentage (only displayed when using fixed leverage).
The trend cloud identifies the maximum and minimum price values for the specified period.
The cloud value is set depending on whether the current price is equal to the high or low values.
If the current closing price is equal to the high value, the cloud is set at the low value, and vice versa.
RU
Индикатор "Price Action Trend and Margin Equity" представляет собой многофункциональный инструмент для анализа рынка, объединяющий в себе элементы управления капиталом и анализа ценовых паттернов. Индикатор помогает трейдерам идентифицировать ключевые прайс экшн паттерны и определять оптимальные уровни входа, выхода и стоп-лосс на основе текущего тренда.
Основные компоненты индикатора:
Управление капиталом:
Позволяет трейдеру задавать параметры управления рисками, такие как процент возможного убытка по позиции, использование фиксированного плеча и общий капитал.
Рассчитывает необходимый уровень плеча для достижения заданного процента убытка.
Price Action:
Правильно идентифицирует различные ценовые паттерны, такие как Pin Bar, Поглащение Бар, PPR Bar и Внутренний Бар.
Отображает эти паттерны на графике с возможностью настройки цветов свечей и стилей отображения.
Позволяет трейдеру настраивать точки тейк профита и стоп лосса для отображения их на графике.
Возможность отображения паттернов только в натправлении тренда.
Trend: (часть кода взята у ChartPrime)
Использует облако тренда для визуализации текущего направления рынка.
Облако тренда отображается на графике и помогает трейдерам определить, находится ли рынок в восходящем или нисходящем тренде.
Оповещение:
Дает возможность установить оповещение которое будет срабатывать при формировании паттерна.
Пример применения:
Предположим, трейдер использует индикатор для торговли на крипто рынке. Он настраивает параметры управления капиталом, устанавливая максимальный убыток по позиции в 5% и используя фиксированное плечо 1:100. Индикатор автоматически рассчитывает необходимый объем позиции для соблюдения этих параметров ($: на лейбле). Или отображает плечо (Х: на лейбле) для достижения необходимого риска.
Трейдер получает оповещение о формировании Pin Bar. Индикатор отображает уровни входа, выхода и стоп-лосс, основанные на этом паттерне. Трейдер открывает позицию на рекомендуемую сумму в направлении, указанном индикатором, и устанавливает стоп-лосс и тейк-профит на рекомендованных уровнях.
Общие настройки:
Процент убытка по позиции: Устанавливает максимальный процент убытка, который вы готовы понести по одной позиции.
Использовать фиксированное плечо: Включает или отключает использование фиксированного плеча.
Уровень фиксированного плеча: Задает уровень фиксированного плеча.
Общий капитал: Указывает общий капитал, который вы используете для торговли. (Необходим для расчета при использовании фиксированного плеча)
Включение/отключение паттернов: Вы можете включить или отключить отображение различных ценовых паттернов, таких как Pin Bar, Outside Bar (Поглощение), Inside Bar и PPR Bar.
Цвета паттернов: Задает цвета для отображения каждого паттерна на графике.
Цвет свечей: Позволяет задать нейтральный цвет для свечей неподходящих под прйс экшн.
Показывать линии: Позволяет включить или отключить отображение лейблов и линий.
Длинна линий: Настройка длинны линий стопа, линии входа и тейк профита.
Цвет лейбла: Один цвет для всех лейблов (настраивается ниже) или цвет лейблов в цвет паттерна свечи.
Вход в пин: Выбор точки входа для пин бара: голова свечи, точка закрытия бара или 50% свечи.
Коэффиценты для стоп и тейк линий.
Использовать тренд для прайс экшна: При включении будет показывать прайс экшн сигналы только в направлении тренда.
Отображение облака тренда: Включает или отключает отображение облака тренда.
Период расчета облака: Устанавливает период, за который рассчитываются максимальные и минимальные значения для облака. Чем больше период, тем более сглаженным будет облако.
Цвета облака: Задает цвета для восходящего и нисходящего трендов, а также прозрачность облака.
Логика работы индикатора:
Pin Bar — это свеча с длинной верхней или нижней тенью и коротким телом.
Логика: Если длина одной тени вдвое больше тела и противоположной тени свечи, считается, что это Pin Bar.
Inside Bar — это свеча, полностью поглощенная предыдущей свечой.
Логика: Если максимум и минимум текущей свечи находятся внутри предыдущей свечи, это Inside Bar.
Outside Bar или Поглощение — это свеча, которая полностью поглощает предыдущую свечу.
Логика: Если максимум и минимум текущей свечи выходят за пределы предыдущей свечи и закрывается за пределами предыдущей свечи, это Outside Bar.
PPR Bar — это свеча, которая закрывается выше или ниже предыдущей свечи.
Логика: Если текущая свеча закрывается выше максимума предыдущей свечи или ниже ее минимума, это PPR Bar.
Уровни стоп-лосс: Рассчитываются на основе заданных коэффициентов. При значении 1.0 показывает правильный стоп для паттерна отталкиваясь от точки входа.
Уровки тейк-профита: Рассчитываются на основе заданных коэффициентов.
Создание метки: Метка создается на уровне стоп-лосс и содержит информацию о потенциальном плече и убытке.
Формула для вычисления значения $:
=(Общий капитал x (Максимальный процент убытка по позиции/100)) / (Разница между уровнем входа и уровнем стоп-лосс × Коэффициент, задающий уровень стоп-лосс относительно длины тени свечи × Значение фиксированного плеча).
Метки содержат следующую информацию:
Процент изменения цены от рекомендованной точки входа до уровня стоп-лосс.
Необходимое плечо (Х: ): Уровень плеча, необходимый для достижения заданного процента убытка. (Или фиксированное значение если оно выбрано).
Необходимый капитал ($: ): Сумма капитала, необходимая для открытия позиции с заданным плечом и процентом убытка (отображается только при использовании фиксированного плеча).
Облако тренда определяет максимальные и минимальные значения цены за указанный период.
Значение облака устанавливается в зависимости от того, совпадает ли текущая цена с максимальными или минимальными значениями.
Если текущая цена закрытия равна максимальному значению, облако устанавливается на уровне минимального значения, и наоборот.
ATR Trailing Stop by GideonMATR Trailing Stop Indicator
This ATR Trailing Stop Indicator is designed for traders who wish to enhance their exit strategies by leveraging volatility-based stops. It offers a systematic approach to trend management and risk control, enabling traders to capture extended trends while protecting their capital during market reversals. Works on Indian Indices as well.
Overview:
The ATR Trailing Stop indicator is a dynamic trend-following tool that adjusts stop levels based on market volatility. By incorporating the Average True Range (ATR), the indicator provides a flexible exit strategy that adapts to changing market conditions, helping traders lock in profits during trends and limit losses during reversals.
How It Works:
True Range and ATR Calculation:
The indicator first calculates the True Range (TR) for each bar, defined as the maximum of:
The difference between the high and low,
The absolute difference between the high and the previous close, and
The absolute difference between the low and the previous close.
Using the TR values, the ATR is computed over a user-defined period (default is 14 bars) with an option to use either a Simple Moving Average (SMA) or an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as the smoothing method.
Trailing Stop Determination:
Two potential stop levels are calculated:
For an uptrend, the stop is determined as:
Stop = Close – (Multiplier × ATR)
For a downtrend, the stop is:
Stop = Close + (Multiplier × ATR)
The indicator maintains a persistent trailing stop that dynamically adjusts:
In an uptrend, the trailing stop only moves upward (or remains flat) to secure gains.
In a downtrend, it only moves downward, thereby protecting the position from excessive losses.
A reversal in trend is identified when the price crosses the trailing stop level, at which point the indicator flips the trend and resets the stop level accordingly.
Rationale:
Utilizing the ATR for trailing stops ensures that the stop levels are directly influenced by market volatility. This dynamic adjustment helps accommodate the natural price fluctuations of the market, providing a more adaptive risk management tool compared to fixed stop-loss levels. The approach is particularly useful in volatile markets where traditional static stops might be triggered prematurely.
Customization:
Key parameters that can be adjusted include:
ATR Period: The number of bars used to calculate the ATR.
ATR Multiplier: The factor that determines how far the trailing stop is set from the current price.
Smoothing Method: Option to choose between SMA and EMA for ATR calculation, allowing traders to tailor the sensitivity of the indicator to their specific trading style.
CandelaCharts - Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)# SWING FAILURE PATTERN
📝 Overview
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) indicator is designed to identify and highlight Swing Failure Patterns on a user’s chart. This pattern typically emerges when significant market participants generate liquidity by driving price action to key levels. An SFP occurs when the price temporarily breaks above a resistance level or below a support level, only to quickly reverse and return within the previous range. These movements are often associated with stop-loss hunting or liquidity grabs, providing traders with potential opportunities to anticipate reversals or key market turning points.
A Bullish SFP occurs when the price dips below a key support level, triggering stop-loss orders, but then swiftly reverses upward, signaling a potential upward trend or reversal.
A Bearish SFP happens when the price spikes above a key resistance level, triggering stop-losses of short positions, but then quickly reverses downward, indicating a potential bearish trend or reversal.
The indicator is a powerful tool for traders, helping to identify liquidity grabs and potential reversal points in real-time. Marking bullish and bearish Swing Failure Patterns on the chart, it provides clear visual cues for spotting market traps set by major players, enabling more informed trading decisions and improved risk management.
📦 Features
Bullish/Bearish SFPs
Styling
⚙️ Settings
Length: Determines the detection length of each SFP
Bullish SFP: Displays the bullish SFPs
Bearish SFP: Displays the bearish SFPs
Label: Controls the size of the label
⚡️ Showcase
Bullish
Bearish
Both
📒 Usage
The best approach is to combine a few complementary indicators to gain a clearer market perspective. This doesn’t mean relying on the Golden Cross, RSI divergences, SFPs, and funding rates simultaneously, but rather focusing on one or two that align well in a given scenario.
The example above demonstrates the confluence of a Bearish Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) with an RSI divergence. This combination strengthens the signal, as the Bearish SFP indicates a potential reversal after a liquidity grab, while the RSI divergence confirms weakening momentum at the key level. Together, these indicators provide a more robust setup for identifying potential market reversals with greater confidence.
🚨 Alerts
This script provides alert options for all signals.
Bearish Signal
A bearish signal is triggered when a Bearish SFP is formed.
Bullish Signal
A bullish signal is triggered when a Bullish SFP is formed.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk, and many participants may incur losses. The content on this site is not intended as financial advice and should not be interpreted as such. Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade securities, commodities, or other financial instruments carry inherent risks and are best made with guidance from qualified financial professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
4Vietnamese 3x SupertrendThis strategy attempts to capture long positions in the Vietnamese stock market using a combination of three Supertrend indicators and additional filters. It utilizes pyramiding to enter up to three long positions with a 33.33% allocation each.
Key Elements:
Supertrend Indicators: Three Supertrend indicators are used with different lengths and multipliers to identify potential trend changes.
Entry Conditions:
The strategy looks for a downtrend on the slowest Supertrend (Supertrend3) followed by uptrends on the medium (Supertrend2) and fast (Supertrend1) Supertrends.
Alternatively, if Supertrend3 is still downtrending, but Supertrend1 is downtrending and a significant previous high (highestGreen) exists, an entry signal is generated.
An optional filter allows using the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Entry Stop Loss:
An optional stop loss can be set based on the entry price of previous long positions, preventing further losses if the price falls below entry prices.
Exit Conditions:
Three exit options are available:
- All Downtrend Exit: Close all positions if all Supertrends turn uptrend and a bearish candlestick pattern (close price lower than open price) is formed.
- Average Price in Loss Exit: Close all positions if the average entry price of open positions is higher than the current closing price (indicating a loss).
- All Positions in Loss Exit: Close all positions if any of the following conditions are met:
A single open position exists, and its entry price is higher than the current close price.
Two open positions exist, and their entry prices are both higher than the current close price.
Three open positions exist, and their entry prices are all higher than the current close price.
Pyramiding: The strategy allows entering up to three long positions with a fixed allocation of 33.33% each.
Customization Options:
The strategy provides various input parameters to customize its behavior:
Supertrend lengths and multipliers for each indicator.
Option to use the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Enabling/disabling Entry Stop Loss and different exit conditions.
Further Enhancements:
Explore additional entry and exit filters to refine trade signals.
Consider incorporating risk management techniques like position sizing and trailing stops.
Backtest the strategy with historical data to evaluate its effectiveness and identify potential areas for improvement.
Lot Size & Risk Calculator (All Pairs)this indicator is designed to simplify and optimize risk management. It automatically calculates the ideal lot size based on your account balance, risk percentage, and defined entry and exit levels. Additionally, it includes visual tools to represent stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) levels, helping you trade with precision and consistency.
WHAT IS THIS INDICATOR FOR?
This indicator is essential for traders who want to:
Maintain consistent risk in their trades.
Quickly calculate lot sizes for Forex, XAUUSD, BTCUSD, and US100.
Visualize key levels (Entry, SL, and TP) on the chart.
Monitor potential losses and gains in real time.
COMPATIBLE ASSETS
The Lot Size Calculator works with the following assets:
Forex: Standard currency pairs.
XAUUSD: Gold versus the US dollar.
BTCUSD: Bitcoin versus the US dollar.
US100: Nasdaq 100 index.
Calculations adjust automatically based on the selected asset.
TAKE-PROFIT (TP) LEVELS
The indicator allows you to define up to three take-profit levels:
TP1
TP2
TP3
.
Each level is configurable based on your exit strategy.
DASHBOARD
The dashboard is a visual tool that consolidates key information about your trade:
Account balance: Total amount available in your account.
Lot size: Calculated based on your risk and parameters.
Potential loss (SL): Amount you could lose if the price hits your stop-loss.
Potential gain (TP): Expected profit if the take-profit level is reached.
SETTINGS
The indicator offers multiple configurable options to adapt to your trading style:
Levels
Entry: Initial trade price.
Stop-Loss (SL): Maximum allowed loss level.
Take-Profit (TP): Up to three configurable levels.
Risk Management
Account balance ($): Enter your total available balance.
Risk percentage: Define how much you're willing to risk per trade
.
Visual Options
Visualization style: Choose between simple lines or visual fills.
Colors: Customize the colors of lines and labels.
Dashboard Settings
Statistics: Enable or disable key data display.
Size and position: Adjust the dashboard's size and location on the chart.
HOW TO CHANGE AN ENTRY?
Open the indicator settings in TradingView and entering the new data manually
Removing and re-adding the indicator to the chart
Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) // AlgoFyreThe Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator detects mean-reversion opportunities by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. It calculates a dynamic mean using an Exponential Weighted Moving Average, surrounded by volatility bands, signaling potential buy/sell points when prices deviate.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
🔶 ORIGINALITY
🔸Adaptive Mean Calculation
🔸Volatility-Based Cloud
🔸Speed of Reversion (θ)
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY
🔸Dynamic Mean and Volatility Bands
🞘 How it works
🞘 How to calculate
🞘 Code extract
🔸Visualization via Table and Plotshapes
🞘 Table Overview
🞘 Plotshapes Explanation
🞘 Code extract
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines
🞘 Setting Up the Indicator
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart
🞘 Possible Entry Signals
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels
🞘 Additional Tips
🔸Customize settings
🔶 CONCLUSION
▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅▅
🔶 ORIGINALITY The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) is a unique indicator that applies the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process to identify mean-reverting behavior in asset prices. Unlike traditional moving average-based indicators, this model uses an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) to calculate the long-term mean, dynamically adjusting to recent price movements while still considering all historical data. It also incorporates volatility bands, providing a "cloud" that visually highlights overbought or oversold conditions. By calculating the speed of mean reversion (θ) through the autocorrelation of log returns, this indicator offers traders a more nuanced and mathematically robust tool for identifying mean-reversion opportunities. These innovations make it especially useful for markets that exhibit range-bound characteristics, offering timely buy and sell signals based on statistical deviations from the mean.
🔸Adaptive Mean Calculation Traditional MA indicators use fixed lengths, which can lead to lagging signals or over-sensitivity in volatile markets. The Mean Reversion Cloud uses an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA), which adapts to price movements by dynamically adjusting its calculation, offering a more responsive mean.
🔸Volatility-Based Cloud Unlike simple moving averages that only plot a single line, the Mean Reversion Cloud surrounds the dynamic mean with volatility bands. These bands, based on standard deviations, provide traders with a visual cue of when prices are statistically likely to revert, highlighting potential reversal zones.
🔸Speed of Reversion (θ) The indicator goes beyond price averages by calculating the speed at which the price reverts to the mean (θ), using the autocorrelation of log returns. This gives traders an additional tool for estimating the likelihood and timing of mean reversion, making the signals more reliable in practice.
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator is designed to detect potential mean-reversion opportunities in asset prices by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process. It calculates a dynamic mean through the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and plots volatility bands based on the standard deviation of the asset's price over a specified period. These bands create a "cloud" that represents expected price fluctuations, helping traders to identify overbought or oversold conditions. By calculating the speed of reversion (θ) from the autocorrelation of log returns, the indicator offers a more refined way of assessing how quickly prices may revert to the mean. Additionally, the inclusion of volatility provides a comprehensive view of market conditions, allowing for more accurate buy and sell signals.
Let's dive into the details:
🔸Dynamic Mean and Volatility Bands The dynamic mean (μ) is calculated using the EWMA, giving more weight to recent prices but considering all historical data. This process closely resembles the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which models the tendency of a stochastic variable (such as price) to revert to its mean over time. Volatility bands are plotted around the mean using standard deviation, forming the "cloud" that signals overbought or oversold conditions. The cloud adapts dynamically to price fluctuations and market volatility, making it a versatile tool for mean-reversion strategies. 🞘 How it works Step one: Calculate the dynamic mean (μ) The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes how a variable, such as an asset's price, tends to revert to a long-term mean while subject to random fluctuations. In this indicator, the EWMA is used to compute the dynamic mean (μ), mimicking the mean-reverting behavior of the OU process. Use the EWMA formula to compute a weighted mean that adjusts to recent price movements. Assign exponentially decreasing weights to older data while giving more emphasis to current prices. Step two: Plot volatility bands Calculate the standard deviation of the price over a user-defined period to determine market volatility. Position the upper and lower bands around the mean by adding and subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation. 🞘 How to calculate Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA)
The EWMA dynamically adjusts to recent price movements:
mu_t = lambda * mu_{t-1} + (1 - lambda) * P_t
Where mu_t is the mean at time t, lambda is the decay factor, and P_t is the price at time t. The higher the decay factor, the more weight is given to recent data.
Autocorrelation (ρ) and Standard Deviation (σ)
To measure mean reversion speed and volatility: rho = correlation(log(close), log(close ), length) Where rho is the autocorrelation of log returns over a specified period.
To calculate volatility:
sigma = stdev(close, length)
Where sigma is the standard deviation of the asset's closing price over a specified length.
Upper and Lower Bands
The upper and lower bands are calculated as follows:
upper_band = mu + (threshold * sigma)
lower_band = mu - (threshold * sigma)
Where threshold is a multiplier for the standard deviation, usually set to 2. These bands represent the range within which the price is expected to fluctuate, based on current volatility and the mean.
🞘 Code extract // Calculate Returns
returns = math.log(close / close )
// Calculate Long-Term Mean (μ) using EWMA over the entire dataset
var float ewma_mu = na // Initialize ewma_mu as 'na'
ewma_mu := na(ewma_mu ) ? close : decay_factor * ewma_mu + (1 - decay_factor) * close
mu = ewma_mu
// Calculate Autocorrelation at Lag 1
rho1 = ta.correlation(returns, returns , corr_length)
// Ensure rho1 is within valid range to avoid errors
rho1 := na(rho1) or rho1 <= 0 ? 0.0001 : rho1
// Calculate Speed of Mean Reversion (θ)
theta = -math.log(rho1)
// Calculate Volatility (σ)
sigma = ta.stdev(close, corr_length)
// Calculate Upper and Lower Bands
upper_band = mu + threshold * sigma
lower_band = mu - threshold * sigma
🔸Visualization via Table and Plotshapes
The table shows key statistics such as the current value of the dynamic mean (μ), the number of times the price has crossed the upper or lower bands, and the consecutive number of bars that the price has remained in an overbought or oversold state.
Plotshapes (diamonds) are used to signal buy and sell opportunities. A green diamond below the price suggests a buy signal when the price crosses below the lower band, and a red diamond above the price indicates a sell signal when the price crosses above the upper band.
The table and plotshapes provide a comprehensive visualization, combining both statistical and actionable information to aid decision-making.
🞘 Code extract // Reset consecutive_bars when price crosses the mean
var consecutive_bars = 0
if (close < mu and close >= mu) or (close > mu and close <= mu)
consecutive_bars := 0
else if math.abs(deviation) > 0
consecutive_bars := math.min(consecutive_bars + 1, dev_length)
transparency = math.max(0, math.min(100, 100 - (consecutive_bars * 100 / dev_length)))
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator can be set up by adding it to your TradingView chart and configuring parameters such as the decay factor, autocorrelation length, and volatility threshold to suit current market conditions. Look for price crossovers and deviations from the calculated mean for potential entry signals. Use the upper and lower bands as dynamic support/resistance levels for setting take profit and stop-loss orders. Combining this indicator with additional trend-following or momentum-based indicators can improve signal accuracy. Adjust settings for better mean-reversion detection and risk management.
🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines
🞘 Setting Up the Indicator
Adding the Indicator to the Chart:
Go to your TradingView chart.
Click on the "Indicators" button at the top.
Search for "Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck)" in the indicators list.
Click on the indicator to add it to your chart.
Configuring the Indicator:
Open the indicator settings by clicking on the gear icon next to its name on the chart.
Decay Factor: Adjust the decay factor (λ) to control the responsiveness of the mean calculation. A higher value prioritizes recent data.
Autocorrelation Length: Set the autocorrelation length (θ) for calculating the speed of mean reversion. Longer lengths consider more historical data.
Threshold: Define the number of standard deviations for the upper and lower bands to determine how far price must deviate to trigger a signal.
Chart Setup:
Select the appropriate timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, daily) based on your trading strategy.
Consider using other indicators such as RSI or MACD to confirm buy and sell signals.
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart
Indicator Behavior:
Observe how the price interacts with the dynamic mean and volatility bands. The price staying within the bands suggests mean-reverting behavior, while crossing the bands signals potential entry points.
The indicator calculates overbought/oversold conditions based on deviation from the mean, highlighted by color-coded cloud areas on the chart.
Crossovers and Deviation:
Look for crossovers between the price and the mean (μ) or the bands. A bullish crossover occurs when the price crosses below the lower band, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
A bearish crossover occurs when the price crosses above the upper band, suggesting a potential sell signal.
Deviations from the mean indicate market extremes. A large deviation indicates that the price is far from the mean, suggesting a potential reversal.
Slope and Direction:
Pay attention to the slope of the mean (μ). A rising slope suggests bullish market conditions, while a declining slope signals a bearish market.
The steepness of the slope can indicate the strength of the mean-reversion trend.
🞘 Possible Entry Signals
Bullish Entry:
Crossover Entry: Enter a long position when the price crosses below the lower band with a positive deviation from the mean.
Confirmation Entry: Use additional indicators like RSI (above 50) or increasing volume to confirm the bullish signal.
Bearish Entry:
Crossover Entry: Enter a short position when the price crosses above the upper band with a negative deviation from the mean.
Confirmation Entry: Look for RSI (below 50) or decreasing volume to confirm the bearish signal.
Deviation Confirmation:
Enter trades when the deviation from the mean is significant, indicating that the price has strayed far from its expected value and is likely to revert.
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies
Static Take Profit Levels:
Set predefined take profit levels based on historical volatility, using the upper and lower bands as guides.
Place take profit orders near recent support/resistance levels, ensuring you're capitalizing on the mean-reversion behavior.
Trailing Stop Loss:
Use a trailing stop based on a percentage of the price deviation from the mean to lock in profits as the trend progresses.
Adjust the trailing stop dynamically along the calculated bands to protect profits as the price returns to the mean.
Deviation-Based Exits:
Exit when the deviation from the mean starts to decrease, signaling that the price is returning to its equilibrium.
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels
Initial Stop Loss:
Place an initial stop loss outside the lower band (for long positions) or above the upper band (for short positions) to protect against excessive deviations.
Use a volatility-based buffer to avoid getting stopped out during normal price fluctuations.
Dynamic Stop Loss:
Move the stop loss closer to the mean as the price converges back towards equilibrium, reducing risk.
Adjust the stop loss dynamically along the bands to account for sudden market movements.
🞘 Additional Tips
Combine with Other Indicators:
Enhance your strategy by combining the Mean Reversion Cloud with momentum indicators like MACD, RSI, or Bollinger Bands to confirm market conditions.
Backtesting and Practice:
Backtest the indicator on historical data to understand how it performs in various market environments.
Practice using the indicator on a demo account before implementing it in live trading.
Market Awareness:
Keep an eye on market news and events that might cause extreme price movements. The indicator reacts to price data and might not account for news-driven events that can cause large deviations.
🔸Customize settings 🞘 Decay Factor (λ): Defines the weight assigned to recent price data in the calculation of the mean. A value closer to 1 places more emphasis on recent prices, while lower values create a smoother, more lagging mean.
🞘 Autocorrelation Length (θ): Sets the period for calculating the speed of mean reversion and volatility. Longer lengths capture more historical data, providing smoother calculations, while shorter lengths make the indicator more responsive.
🞘 Threshold (σ): Specifies the number of standard deviations used to create the upper and lower bands. Higher thresholds widen the bands, producing fewer signals, while lower thresholds tighten the bands for more frequent signals.
🞘 Max Gradient Length (γ): Determines the maximum number of consecutive bars for calculating the deviation gradient. This setting impacts the transparency of the plotted bands based on the length of deviation from the mean.
🔶 CONCLUSION
The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator offers a sophisticated approach to identifying mean-reversion opportunities by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process. This dynamic indicator calculates a responsive mean using an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and plots volatility-based bands to highlight overbought and oversold conditions. By incorporating advanced statistical measures like autocorrelation and standard deviation, traders can better assess market extremes and potential reversals. The indicator’s ability to adapt to price behavior makes it a versatile tool for traders focused on both short-term price deviations and longer-term mean-reversion strategies. With its unique blend of statistical rigor and visual clarity, the Mean Reversion Cloud provides an invaluable tool for understanding and capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
2Mars - MA / BB / SuperTrend
The 2Mars strategy is a trading approach that aims to improve trading efficiency by incorporating several simple order opening tactics. These tactics include moving average crossovers, Bollinger Bands, and SuperTrend.
Entering a Position with the 2Mars Strategy:
Moving Average Crossover: This method considers the crossing of moving averages as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Bollinger Bands: If the price crosses either the upper or lower Bollinger Band, it is seen as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Moving Average: If the price crosses the moving average, it is also considered a signal to enter a position.
SuperTrend and Bars confirm:
The SuperTrend indicator is used to provide additional confirmation for entering positions and setting stop loss levels. "Bars confirm" is used only for entry to positions.
Moving Average Crossover Strategy:
A moving average crossover refers to the point on a chart where there is a crossover of the signal or fast moving average, above or below the basis or slow moving average. This strategy also uses moving averages for additional orders #3.
Basis Moving Average Length: Ratio * Multiplier
Signal Moving Average Length: Multiplier
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands consist of three bands: an upper band, a lower band, and a basis moving average. However, the 2Mars strategy incorporates multiple upper and lower levels for position entry and take profit.
Basis +/- StdDev * 0.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 1.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 2.618
Additional Orders:
Additional Order #1 and #2: closing price crosses above or below the Bollinger Bands.
Additional Order #3: closing price crosses above or below the basis or signal moving average.
Take Profit:
The strategy includes three levels for taking profits, which are based on the Bollinger Bands. Additionally, a percentage of the position can be chosen to close long or short positions.
Limit Orders:
The strategy allows for entering a position using a limit order. The calculation for the limit order involves the Average True Range (ATR) for a specific period.
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Multiplier
Stop Loss:
To manage risk, the strategy recommends using stop loss options. The stop loss is updated with each entry order and take-profit level 3. When using the SuperTrend Confirmation, the stop loss requires confirmation of a trend change. It allows for flexible adjustment of the stop loss when the trend changes.
There are three options for setting the stop loss:
1. ATR (Average True Range):
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Short multiplier
2. SuperTrend + ATR:
For long positions: SuperTrend - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: SuperTrend + ATR * Short multiplier
3. StdDev:
For long positions: StdDev - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: StdDev + ATR * Short multiplier
Flexible Stop Loss:
There is also a flexible stop loss option for the ATR and StdDev methods. It is triggered when the SuperTrend or moving average trend changes unfavorably.
For long positions: Stop-loss price + (ATR * Long multiplier) * Multiplier
For short positions: Stop-loss price - (ATR * Short multiplier) * Multiplier
How configure:
Disable SuperTrend, take profit, stop loss, additional orders and begin setting up a strategy.
Pick soucre data
Number of bars for confirm
Pick up the ratio of the base moving average and the signal moving average.
Set up a SuperTrend
Time for set up of the Bollinger Bands and the take profit
And finaly set up of stop loss and limit orders
All done!
For OKX exchange:
